**In the Acre Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, recent polling shows a fragmented contest where Gladson Cameli leads overall while Marcio Bittar maintains a competitive position for second place through established name recognition and coalition backing.** Late-August Quaest data placed Cameli at 19% consolidated support, Bittar at 14%, and Mara Rocha alongside Jorge Viana at 12% each, with first- and second-preference scenarios remaining within margins of error. Bittar’s incumbency and alliances have kept him ahead of Rocha and Viana in trader assessments for the specific second-place outcome, while lower-priced contenders like Petecão face steeper structural barriers. The short official campaign window since mid-August and ongoing legal or eligibility questions around some candidates sustain uncertainty, allowing late shifts in turnout or endorsements to reorder the lower rankings before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarcio Bittar 51.3%
Mara Rocha 34%
Gladson Camelí 7%
Petecão 5.0%
$32,427 Vol.
$32,427 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
51%
Mara Rocha
34%
Gladson Camelí
7%
Petecão
5%
Jorge Viana
10%
Professor Inacio Moreira
<1%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
<1%
Marcio Bittar 51.3%
Mara Rocha 34%
Gladson Camelí 7%
Petecão 5.0%
$32,427 Vol.
$32,427 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
$4,432 Vol.
51%
Mara Rocha
$13,127 Vol.
34%
Gladson Camelí
$10,476 Vol.
7%
Petecão
$1,648 Vol.
5%
Jorge Viana
$863 Vol.
10%
Professor Inacio Moreira
$582 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$690 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
$610 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**In the Acre Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, recent polling shows a fragmented contest where Gladson Cameli leads overall while Marcio Bittar maintains a competitive position for second place through established name recognition and coalition backing.** Late-August Quaest data placed Cameli at 19% consolidated support, Bittar at 14%, and Mara Rocha alongside Jorge Viana at 12% each, with first- and second-preference scenarios remaining within margins of error. Bittar’s incumbency and alliances have kept him ahead of Rocha and Viana in trader assessments for the specific second-place outcome, while lower-priced contenders like Petecão face steeper structural barriers. The short official campaign window since mid-August and ongoing legal or eligibility questions around some candidates sustain uncertainty, allowing late shifts in turnout or endorsements to reorder the lower rankings before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET
Volume
$32,427End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**In the Acre Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, recent polling shows a fragmented contest where Gladson Cameli leads overall while Marcio Bittar maintains a competitive position for second place through established name recognition and coalition backing.** Late-August Quaest data placed Cameli at 19% consolidated support, Bittar at 14%, and Mara Rocha alongside Jorge Viana at 12% each, with first- and second-preference scenarios remaining within margins of error. Bittar’s incumbency and alliances have kept him ahead of Rocha and Viana in trader assessments for the specific second-place outcome, while lower-priced contenders like Petecão face steeper structural barriers. The short official campaign window since mid-August and ongoing legal or eligibility questions around some candidates sustain uncertainty, allowing late shifts in turnout or endorsements to reorder the lower rankings before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$32,427End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**In the Acre Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, recent polling shows a fragmented contest where Gladson Cameli leads overall while Marcio Bittar maintains a competitive position for second place through established name recognition and coalition backing.** Late-August Quaest data placed Cameli at 19% consolidated support, Bittar at 14%, and Mara Rocha alongside Jorge Viana at 12% each, with first- and second-preference scenarios remaining within margins of error. Bittar’s incumbency and alliances have kept him ahead of Rocha and Viana in trader assessments for the specific second-place outcome, while lower-priced contenders like Petecão face steeper structural barriers. The short official campaign window since mid-August and ongoing legal or eligibility questions around some candidates sustain uncertainty, allowing late shifts in turnout or endorsements to reorder the lower rankings before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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