**Alan Rick leads the Acre gubernatorial race with consistent polling advantages heading into the October 4 first-round vote.** Multiple surveys from June through late August, including Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and Quaest, place the Republicanos senator at 33–41% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) at 24–29% and Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15–18%, with minor candidates below 5%. Rick’s edge reflects his established Senate profile, party alliances, and campaign focus on infrastructure and mobility, while Assis benefits from 67% approval of her short tenure but trails in voting intentions despite PP’s organizational strength. The market’s 63% for Rick and 37% for Assis mirror these trends and the low viability of fringe contenders ahead of the possible October 25 runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlan Rick 64%
Mailza Assis 38%
Tião Bocalom <1%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
$37,142 Vol.
$37,142 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alan Rick
64%
Mailza Assis
38%
Tião Bocalom
<1%
Dr. Luisinho
<1%
Eudo Raffael
<1%
Thor Dantas
<1%
Alan Rick 64%
Mailza Assis 38%
Tião Bocalom <1%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
$37,142 Vol.
$37,142 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alan Rick
$19,818 Vol.
64%
Mailza Assis
$15,084 Vol.
38%
Tião Bocalom
$402 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Luisinho
$602 Vol.
<1%
Eudo Raffael
$767 Vol.
<1%
Thor Dantas
$470 Vol.
<1%
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Alan Rick leads the Acre gubernatorial race with consistent polling advantages heading into the October 4 first-round vote.** Multiple surveys from June through late August, including Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and Quaest, place the Republicanos senator at 33–41% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) at 24–29% and Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15–18%, with minor candidates below 5%. Rick’s edge reflects his established Senate profile, party alliances, and campaign focus on infrastructure and mobility, while Assis benefits from 67% approval of her short tenure but trails in voting intentions despite PP’s organizational strength. The market’s 63% for Rick and 37% for Assis mirror these trends and the low viability of fringe contenders ahead of the possible October 25 runoff.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Volume
$37,142End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Alan Rick leads the Acre gubernatorial race with consistent polling advantages heading into the October 4 first-round vote.** Multiple surveys from June through late August, including Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and Quaest, place the Republicanos senator at 33–41% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) at 24–29% and Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15–18%, with minor candidates below 5%. Rick’s edge reflects his established Senate profile, party alliances, and campaign focus on infrastructure and mobility, while Assis benefits from 67% approval of her short tenure but trails in voting intentions despite PP’s organizational strength. The market’s 63% for Rick and 37% for Assis mirror these trends and the low viability of fringe contenders ahead of the possible October 25 runoff.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$37,142End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Alan Rick leads the Acre gubernatorial race with consistent polling advantages heading into the October 4 first-round vote.** Multiple surveys from June through late August, including Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and Quaest, place the Republicanos senator at 33–41% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) at 24–29% and Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15–18%, with minor candidates below 5%. Rick’s edge reflects his established Senate profile, party alliances, and campaign focus on infrastructure and mobility, while Assis benefits from 67% approval of her short tenure but trails in voting intentions despite PP’s organizational strength. The market’s 63% for Rick and 37% for Assis mirror these trends and the low viability of fringe contenders ahead of the possible October 25 runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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