Marcos Rogério (PL), a sitting senator with prior federal and local experience, leads the 2026 Rondônia governor race after securing his party's nomination and a multi-party alliance in July conventions. Recent polling from July and August consistently places him first in the first-round estimates, typically 24-40%, ahead of Adailton Fúria (PSD) at 19-28%, with Hildon Chaves (UNIÃO), Expedito Netto (PT), and others trailing further. Traders' 70.5% pricing on Rogério aligns with this positioning and the state's registered voter sentiment favoring change ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. The six-candidate field, term-limited incumbent succession, and ongoing campaign events have not produced major shifts in the last month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarcos Rogério 72%
Adailton Furia 12.9%
Hildon Chaves 3.3%
Expedito Netto 2.3%
$10,761 Vol.
$10,761 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcos Rogério
72%
Adailton Furia
18%
Hildon Chaves
3%
Expedito Netto
2%
Pedro Abib
1%
Samuel Costa
<1%
Marcos Rogério 72%
Adailton Furia 12.9%
Hildon Chaves 3.3%
Expedito Netto 2.3%
$10,761 Vol.
$10,761 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcos Rogério
$6,484 Vol.
72%
Adailton Furia
$1,354 Vol.
18%
Hildon Chaves
$789 Vol.
3%
Expedito Netto
$772 Vol.
2%
Pedro Abib
$926 Vol.
1%
Samuel Costa
$436 Vol.
<1%
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marcos Rogério (PL), a sitting senator with prior federal and local experience, leads the 2026 Rondônia governor race after securing his party's nomination and a multi-party alliance in July conventions. Recent polling from July and August consistently places him first in the first-round estimates, typically 24-40%, ahead of Adailton Fúria (PSD) at 19-28%, with Hildon Chaves (UNIÃO), Expedito Netto (PT), and others trailing further. Traders' 70.5% pricing on Rogério aligns with this positioning and the state's registered voter sentiment favoring change ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. The six-candidate field, term-limited incumbent succession, and ongoing campaign events have not produced major shifts in the last month.
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Volume
$10,761End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marcos Rogério (PL), a sitting senator with prior federal and local experience, leads the 2026 Rondônia governor race after securing his party's nomination and a multi-party alliance in July conventions. Recent polling from July and August consistently places him first in the first-round estimates, typically 24-40%, ahead of Adailton Fúria (PSD) at 19-28%, with Hildon Chaves (UNIÃO), Expedito Netto (PT), and others trailing further. Traders' 70.5% pricing on Rogério aligns with this positioning and the state's registered voter sentiment favoring change ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. The six-candidate field, term-limited incumbent succession, and ongoing campaign events have not produced major shifts in the last month.
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$10,761End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marcos Rogério (PL), a sitting senator with prior federal and local experience, leads the 2026 Rondônia governor race after securing his party's nomination and a multi-party alliance in July conventions. Recent polling from July and August consistently places him first in the first-round estimates, typically 24-40%, ahead of Adailton Fúria (PSD) at 19-28%, with Hildon Chaves (UNIÃO), Expedito Netto (PT), and others trailing further. Traders' 70.5% pricing on Rogério aligns with this positioning and the state's registered voter sentiment favoring change ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. The six-candidate field, term-limited incumbent succession, and ongoing campaign events have not produced major shifts in the last month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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