Recent polling for Rio Grande do Norte’s October 4 Senate contest shows Styvenson Valentim holding a clear lead for one seat, while the second position remains contested among Zenaide Maia, Rafael Motta, Samanda de Lula, and Coronel Hélio. Surveys from Quaest in late August and earlier Atlas and Exatus releases indicate technical ties or narrow gaps in consolidated first- and second-choice support, with many voters still undecided or splitting preferences across the two-vote system. This fragmentation keeps implied probabilities for second place closely matched, as shifts in turnout, coalition mobilization, or late campaign momentum could reorder the field before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZenaide Maia 35%
Rafael Motta 26.2%
Samanda de Lula 19%
Styvenson Valentim 10.5%
$17,945 Vol.
$17,945 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Zenaide Maia
35%
Rafael Motta
26%
Samanda de Lula
19%
Styvenson Valentim
11%
Coronel Hélio
1%
Rosália Fernandes
1%
Luciana Mandu
1%
Professor Guilherme
<1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
<1%
Tércio Tinôco
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
<1%
Sonia Godeiro
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
<1%
Zenaide Maia 35%
Rafael Motta 26.2%
Samanda de Lula 19%
Styvenson Valentim 10.5%
$17,945 Vol.
$17,945 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Zenaide Maia
$2,350 Vol.
35%
Rafael Motta
$2,300 Vol.
26%
Samanda de Lula
$5,779 Vol.
19%
Styvenson Valentim
$1,914 Vol.
11%
Coronel Hélio
$544 Vol.
1%
Rosália Fernandes
$649 Vol.
1%
Luciana Mandu
$600 Vol.
1%
Professor Guilherme
$505 Vol.
<1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
$550 Vol.
<1%
Tércio Tinôco
$641 Vol.
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
$604 Vol.
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
$520 Vol.
<1%
Sonia Godeiro
$479 Vol.
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
$511 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for Rio Grande do Norte’s October 4 Senate contest shows Styvenson Valentim holding a clear lead for one seat, while the second position remains contested among Zenaide Maia, Rafael Motta, Samanda de Lula, and Coronel Hélio. Surveys from Quaest in late August and earlier Atlas and Exatus releases indicate technical ties or narrow gaps in consolidated first- and second-choice support, with many voters still undecided or splitting preferences across the two-vote system. This fragmentation keeps implied probabilities for second place closely matched, as shifts in turnout, coalition mobilization, or late campaign momentum could reorder the field before ballots are cast.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Volume
$17,945End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for Rio Grande do Norte’s October 4 Senate contest shows Styvenson Valentim holding a clear lead for one seat, while the second position remains contested among Zenaide Maia, Rafael Motta, Samanda de Lula, and Coronel Hélio. Surveys from Quaest in late August and earlier Atlas and Exatus releases indicate technical ties or narrow gaps in consolidated first- and second-choice support, with many voters still undecided or splitting preferences across the two-vote system. This fragmentation keeps implied probabilities for second place closely matched, as shifts in turnout, coalition mobilization, or late campaign momentum could reorder the field before ballots are cast.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,945End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Rio Grande do Norte’s October 4 Senate contest shows Styvenson Valentim holding a clear lead for one seat, while the second position remains contested among Zenaide Maia, Rafael Motta, Samanda de Lula, and Coronel Hélio. Surveys from Quaest in late August and earlier Atlas and Exatus releases indicate technical ties or narrow gaps in consolidated first- and second-choice support, with many voters still undecided or splitting preferences across the two-vote system. This fragmentation keeps implied probabilities for second place closely matched, as shifts in turnout, coalition mobilization, or late campaign momentum could reorder the field before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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