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Politics·Brazil

Piauí Governor Election Winner

icon for Piauí Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Piauí Governor Election Winner

Rafael Fonteles 95%

Ravenna da Inclusão 1.8%

Professor Jurity 1.0%

Elizeu Aguiar <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Rafael Fonteles 95%

Ravenna da Inclusão 1.8%

Professor Jurity 1.0%

Elizeu Aguiar <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Rafael Fonteles

Rafael Fonteles

$1,304 Vol.

95%

icon for Ravenna da Inclusão

Ravenna da Inclusão

$222 Vol.

2%

icon for Professor Jurity

Professor Jurity

$235 Vol.

1%

icon for Elizeu Aguiar

Elizeu Aguiar

$243 Vol.

1%

icon for Lourdes Melo

Lourdes Melo

$317 Vol.

1%

icon for Professor Gisvaldo

Professor Gisvaldo

$232 Vol.

1%

icon for Santiago Belizário

Santiago Belizário

$232 Vol.

1%

icon for Dra. Lúcia Santos

Dra. Lúcia Santos

$232 Vol.

1%

icon for Geraldo Carvalho

Geraldo Carvalho

$248 Vol.

1%

icon for Joel Rodrigues

Joel Rodrigues

$248 Vol.

1%

icon for Gustavo Feijó

Gustavo Feijó

$263 Vol.

<1%

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí seeking re-election, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus around 94%. Multiple recent polls, including AtlasIntel surveys from late August and early September showing 62% support and earlier GP1 and Datafolha readings between 56-73% of valid votes, underscore his position against main challenger Joel Rodrigues (PP) at roughly 20-25%. High approval ratings near 62-67%, fulfillment of key 2022 pledges such as expanding full-time schools, and a broad coalition backing his July convention formalization with parties including MDB, PSD, and others reinforce the edge. First-round voting occurs October 4. Late developments like scandals, sharp economic shifts, or turnout surprises among opposition voters could narrow margins, though current polling stability and incumbency advantages sustain the market pricing.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,773
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí seeking re-election, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus around 94%. Multiple recent polls, including AtlasIntel surveys from late August and early September showing 62% support and earlier GP1 and Datafolha readings between 56-73% of valid votes, underscore his position against main challenger Joel Rodrigues (PP) at roughly 20-25%. High approval ratings near 62-67%, fulfillment of key 2022 pledges such as expanding full-time schools, and a broad coalition backing his July convention formalization with parties including MDB, PSD, and others reinforce the edge. First-round voting occurs October 4. Late developments like scandals, sharp economic shifts, or turnout surprises among opposition voters could narrow margins, though current polling stability and incumbency advantages sustain the market pricing.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,773
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Piauí Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rafael Fonteles" at 95%, followed by "Ravenna da Inclusão" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Piauí Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Piauí Governor Election Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Piauí Governor Election Winner" is "Rafael Fonteles" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ravenna da Inclusão" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Piauí Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.