Eduardo Braide (PSD) leads trader consensus at 71.5% for the Maranhão gubernatorial race, reflecting sustained polling strength and name recognition as former São Luís mayor. Recent surveys, including Quaest from late August, show him at 44% in the first round against Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 25%, with other candidates such as Felipe Camarão (PT) and André Luís trailing far behind. Braide resigned his mayoral post in March to focus on the statewide contest, securing PSD backing and building coalitions ahead of the October 4 vote. Brandão, the primary challenger at 21%, draws support from the current MDB administration but trails in voter intention data. Low-probability names face structural barriers in coalition formation and turnout, while the first-round threshold and potential October 25 runoff remain key variables before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEduardo Braide 72%
Orleans Brandão 22%
Felipe Camarão <1%
André Luís <1%
$73,184 Vol.
$73,184 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braide
72%
Orleans Brandão
22%
Felipe Camarão
1%
André Luís
<1%
Lahesio Bonfim
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Eduardo Braide 72%
Orleans Brandão 22%
Felipe Camarão <1%
André Luís <1%
$73,184 Vol.
$73,184 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braide
$37,256 Vol.
72%
Orleans Brandão
$15,738 Vol.
22%
Felipe Camarão
$5,216 Vol.
1%
André Luís
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
Lahesio Bonfim
$4,303 Vol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$4,924 Vol.
<1%
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD) leads trader consensus at 71.5% for the Maranhão gubernatorial race, reflecting sustained polling strength and name recognition as former São Luís mayor. Recent surveys, including Quaest from late August, show him at 44% in the first round against Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 25%, with other candidates such as Felipe Camarão (PT) and André Luís trailing far behind. Braide resigned his mayoral post in March to focus on the statewide contest, securing PSD backing and building coalitions ahead of the October 4 vote. Brandão, the primary challenger at 21%, draws support from the current MDB administration but trails in voter intention data. Low-probability names face structural barriers in coalition formation and turnout, while the first-round threshold and potential October 25 runoff remain key variables before final resolution.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Volume
$73,184End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD) leads trader consensus at 71.5% for the Maranhão gubernatorial race, reflecting sustained polling strength and name recognition as former São Luís mayor. Recent surveys, including Quaest from late August, show him at 44% in the first round against Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 25%, with other candidates such as Felipe Camarão (PT) and André Luís trailing far behind. Braide resigned his mayoral post in March to focus on the statewide contest, securing PSD backing and building coalitions ahead of the October 4 vote. Brandão, the primary challenger at 21%, draws support from the current MDB administration but trails in voter intention data. Low-probability names face structural barriers in coalition formation and turnout, while the first-round threshold and potential October 25 runoff remain key variables before final resolution.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$73,184End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braide (PSD) leads trader consensus at 71.5% for the Maranhão gubernatorial race, reflecting sustained polling strength and name recognition as former São Luís mayor. Recent surveys, including Quaest from late August, show him at 44% in the first round against Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 25%, with other candidates such as Felipe Camarão (PT) and André Luís trailing far behind. Braide resigned his mayoral post in March to focus on the statewide contest, securing PSD backing and building coalitions ahead of the October 4 vote. Brandão, the primary challenger at 21%, draws support from the current MDB administration but trails in voter intention data. Low-probability names face structural barriers in coalition formation and turnout, while the first-round threshold and potential October 25 runoff remain key variables before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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