Gustavo Gayer leads trader pricing for second place in Goiás's October 4 Senate contest because recent Quaest polling places him ahead of other contenders for one of the two available seats, behind only Gracinha Caiado. Combined first-and-second preference mentions give Gayer 12 percent, ahead of incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso and Dr. Zacharias Calil at 9 percent each, with Gustavo Mendanha at 6 percent. High undecided shares above 25 percent and low spontaneous name recognition keep the race fluid, yet Gayer's PL backing, federal deputy profile, and consistent mid-August survey positioning sustain his edge in market assessments ahead of the single-round vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGustavo Gayer 67%
Vanderlan Cardoso 16.9%
Gustavo Mendanha 9%
Gracinha Caiado 4.9%
$34,185 Vol.
$34,185 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gustavo Gayer
67%
Vanderlan Cardoso
17%
Gustavo Mendanha
9%
Gracinha Caiado
5%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
5%
Cintia Dias
2%
Ernesto Roller
1%
Iure Castro
1%
Guilherme Darques
<1%
Isaura Lemos
<1%
Oséias Varão
<1%
Gustavo Gayer 67%
Vanderlan Cardoso 16.9%
Gustavo Mendanha 9%
Gracinha Caiado 4.9%
$34,185 Vol.
$34,185 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gustavo Gayer
$29,167 Vol.
67%
Vanderlan Cardoso
$758 Vol.
17%
Gustavo Mendanha
$340 Vol.
9%
Gracinha Caiado
$2,170 Vol.
5%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
$315 Vol.
5%
Cintia Dias
$343 Vol.
2%
Ernesto Roller
$279 Vol.
1%
Iure Castro
$207 Vol.
1%
Guilherme Darques
$219 Vol.
<1%
Isaura Lemos
$199 Vol.
<1%
Oséias Varão
$189 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Gustavo Gayer leads trader pricing for second place in Goiás's October 4 Senate contest because recent Quaest polling places him ahead of other contenders for one of the two available seats, behind only Gracinha Caiado. Combined first-and-second preference mentions give Gayer 12 percent, ahead of incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso and Dr. Zacharias Calil at 9 percent each, with Gustavo Mendanha at 6 percent. High undecided shares above 25 percent and low spontaneous name recognition keep the race fluid, yet Gayer's PL backing, federal deputy profile, and consistent mid-August survey positioning sustain his edge in market assessments ahead of the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
Volume
$34,185End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Gustavo Gayer leads trader pricing for second place in Goiás's October 4 Senate contest because recent Quaest polling places him ahead of other contenders for one of the two available seats, behind only Gracinha Caiado. Combined first-and-second preference mentions give Gayer 12 percent, ahead of incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso and Dr. Zacharias Calil at 9 percent each, with Gustavo Mendanha at 6 percent. High undecided shares above 25 percent and low spontaneous name recognition keep the race fluid, yet Gayer's PL backing, federal deputy profile, and consistent mid-August survey positioning sustain his edge in market assessments ahead of the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,185End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gustavo Gayer leads trader pricing for second place in Goiás's October 4 Senate contest because recent Quaest polling places him ahead of other contenders for one of the two available seats, behind only Gracinha Caiado. Combined first-and-second preference mentions give Gayer 12 percent, ahead of incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso and Dr. Zacharias Calil at 9 percent each, with Gustavo Mendanha at 6 percent. High undecided shares above 25 percent and low spontaneous name recognition keep the race fluid, yet Gayer's PL backing, federal deputy profile, and consistent mid-August survey positioning sustain his edge in market assessments ahead of the single-round vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions