Gracinha Caiado leads recent polling for first place in Goiás’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates for the state’s seats. Multiple August surveys, including Quaest and Real Time Big Data, place the União Brasil candidate at 21–27% in combined first- and second-choice totals, well ahead of Gustavo Gayer (PL) at 12–17% and trailing names such as Vanderlan Cardoso, Zacharias Calil, and Gustavo Mendanha. Her advantage stems from high name recognition as former first lady and alignment with the state’s dominant political network. Gayer remains the clearest challenger but trails by double digits in most estimates. With roughly a month until voting, trader consensus on Caiado finishing first reflects these persistent polling gaps and the absence of major late-campaign shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGracinha Caiado 74%
Gustavo Gayer 17%
Guilherme Darques 2.7%
Cintia Dias 1.4%
$12,994 Vol.
$12,994 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gracinha Caiado
74%
Gustavo Gayer
17%
Guilherme Darques
3%
Cintia Dias
1%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
1%
Iure Castro
1%
Isaura Lemos
1%
Ernesto Roller
1%
Vanderlan Cardoso
1%
Gustavo Mendanha
1%
Oséias Varão
<1%
Gracinha Caiado 74%
Gustavo Gayer 17%
Guilherme Darques 2.7%
Cintia Dias 1.4%
$12,994 Vol.
$12,994 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gracinha Caiado
$10,345 Vol.
74%
Gustavo Gayer
$1,072 Vol.
17%
Guilherme Darques
$167 Vol.
3%
Cintia Dias
$137 Vol.
1%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
$137 Vol.
1%
Iure Castro
$149 Vol.
1%
Isaura Lemos
$253 Vol.
1%
Ernesto Roller
$197 Vol.
1%
Vanderlan Cardoso
$206 Vol.
1%
Gustavo Mendanha
$165 Vol.
1%
Oséias Varão
$167 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Gracinha Caiado leads recent polling for first place in Goiás’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates for the state’s seats. Multiple August surveys, including Quaest and Real Time Big Data, place the União Brasil candidate at 21–27% in combined first- and second-choice totals, well ahead of Gustavo Gayer (PL) at 12–17% and trailing names such as Vanderlan Cardoso, Zacharias Calil, and Gustavo Mendanha. Her advantage stems from high name recognition as former first lady and alignment with the state’s dominant political network. Gayer remains the clearest challenger but trails by double digits in most estimates. With roughly a month until voting, trader consensus on Caiado finishing first reflects these persistent polling gaps and the absence of major late-campaign shifts.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
Volume
$12,994End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Gracinha Caiado leads recent polling for first place in Goiás’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates for the state’s seats. Multiple August surveys, including Quaest and Real Time Big Data, place the União Brasil candidate at 21–27% in combined first- and second-choice totals, well ahead of Gustavo Gayer (PL) at 12–17% and trailing names such as Vanderlan Cardoso, Zacharias Calil, and Gustavo Mendanha. Her advantage stems from high name recognition as former first lady and alignment with the state’s dominant political network. Gayer remains the clearest challenger but trails by double digits in most estimates. With roughly a month until voting, trader consensus on Caiado finishing first reflects these persistent polling gaps and the absence of major late-campaign shifts.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$12,994End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gracinha Caiado leads recent polling for first place in Goiás’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates for the state’s seats. Multiple August surveys, including Quaest and Real Time Big Data, place the União Brasil candidate at 21–27% in combined first- and second-choice totals, well ahead of Gustavo Gayer (PL) at 12–17% and trailing names such as Vanderlan Cardoso, Zacharias Calil, and Gustavo Mendanha. Her advantage stems from high name recognition as former first lady and alignment with the state’s dominant political network. Gayer remains the clearest challenger but trails by double digits in most estimates. With roughly a month until voting, trader consensus on Caiado finishing first reflects these persistent polling gaps and the absence of major late-campaign shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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