Gustavo Gayer leads trader pricing for second place in Goiás’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, where voters select two senators and the top two finishers win eight-year terms. Recent late-August polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) well ahead overall, while Gayer (PL) consistently ranks second or near the top in combined and first-preference scenarios, ahead of incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD). Gayer’s visibility as a federal deputy, PL party machinery, and right-leaning base have sustained this positioning amid high undecided shares and low spontaneous recognition for most candidates. Cardoso’s incumbency and regional support keep him the clearest alternative in market odds, though further behind in the latest surveys. No major late developments have shifted the field since candidacies were formalized in early August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGustavo Gayer 67%
Vanderlan Cardoso 16.8%
Gustavo Mendanha 8%
Gracinha Caiado 5.9%
$34,188 Vol.
$34,188 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gustavo Gayer
67%
Vanderlan Cardoso
17%
Gustavo Mendanha
8%
Gracinha Caiado
6%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
4%
Ernesto Roller
1%
Iure Castro
1%
Cintia Dias
1%
Guilherme Darques
<1%
Isaura Lemos
<1%
Oséias Varão
<1%
Gustavo Gayer 67%
Vanderlan Cardoso 16.8%
Gustavo Mendanha 8%
Gracinha Caiado 5.9%
$34,188 Vol.
$34,188 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gustavo Gayer
$29,169 Vol.
67%
Vanderlan Cardoso
$758 Vol.
17%
Gustavo Mendanha
$340 Vol.
8%
Gracinha Caiado
$2,170 Vol.
6%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
$315 Vol.
4%
Ernesto Roller
$279 Vol.
1%
Iure Castro
$207 Vol.
1%
Cintia Dias
$343 Vol.
1%
Guilherme Darques
$219 Vol.
<1%
Isaura Lemos
$199 Vol.
<1%
Oséias Varão
$189 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Gustavo Gayer leads trader pricing for second place in Goiás’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, where voters select two senators and the top two finishers win eight-year terms. Recent late-August polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) well ahead overall, while Gayer (PL) consistently ranks second or near the top in combined and first-preference scenarios, ahead of incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD). Gayer’s visibility as a federal deputy, PL party machinery, and right-leaning base have sustained this positioning amid high undecided shares and low spontaneous recognition for most candidates. Cardoso’s incumbency and regional support keep him the clearest alternative in market odds, though further behind in the latest surveys. No major late developments have shifted the field since candidacies were formalized in early August.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
Volume
$34,188End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Gustavo Gayer leads trader pricing for second place in Goiás’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, where voters select two senators and the top two finishers win eight-year terms. Recent late-August polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) well ahead overall, while Gayer (PL) consistently ranks second or near the top in combined and first-preference scenarios, ahead of incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD). Gayer’s visibility as a federal deputy, PL party machinery, and right-leaning base have sustained this positioning amid high undecided shares and low spontaneous recognition for most candidates. Cardoso’s incumbency and regional support keep him the clearest alternative in market odds, though further behind in the latest surveys. No major late developments have shifted the field since candidacies were formalized in early August.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,188End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gustavo Gayer leads trader pricing for second place in Goiás’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, where voters select two senators and the top two finishers win eight-year terms. Recent late-August polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) well ahead overall, while Gayer (PL) consistently ranks second or near the top in combined and first-preference scenarios, ahead of incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD). Gayer’s visibility as a federal deputy, PL party machinery, and right-leaning base have sustained this positioning amid high undecided shares and low spontaneous recognition for most candidates. Cardoso’s incumbency and regional support keep him the clearest alternative in market odds, though further behind in the latest surveys. No major late developments have shifted the field since candidacies were formalized in early August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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