Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Acre for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, backed by consistent polling leads of 20-plus points over Lula across multiple surveys from June through late August. The state’s conservative electorate has shown sustained alignment with Liberal Party messaging on security, agriculture, and regional priorities, inheriting momentum from prior Bolsonarista support in the Amazon region. Other declared candidates, including Ronaldo Caiado and various minor figures, register in single digits or lower in state-specific testing, limiting fragmentation risks. Trader consensus reflects these patterns while leaving room for late shifts from national campaign events, candidate withdrawals, or turnout variations before the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlavio Bolsonaro 96.4%
Lula <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
96%
Lula
1%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 96.4%
Lula <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$4,225 Vol.
96%
Lula
$320 Vol.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$365 Vol.
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$303 Vol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$303 Vol.
1%
Renan Santos
$303 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$323 Vol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$360 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$430 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$358 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$355 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$372 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$398 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Acre for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, backed by consistent polling leads of 20-plus points over Lula across multiple surveys from June through late August. The state’s conservative electorate has shown sustained alignment with Liberal Party messaging on security, agriculture, and regional priorities, inheriting momentum from prior Bolsonarista support in the Amazon region. Other declared candidates, including Ronaldo Caiado and various minor figures, register in single digits or lower in state-specific testing, limiting fragmentation risks. Trader consensus reflects these patterns while leaving room for late shifts from national campaign events, candidate withdrawals, or turnout variations before the October vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Volume
$8,411End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Acre for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, backed by consistent polling leads of 20-plus points over Lula across multiple surveys from June through late August. The state’s conservative electorate has shown sustained alignment with Liberal Party messaging on security, agriculture, and regional priorities, inheriting momentum from prior Bolsonarista support in the Amazon region. Other declared candidates, including Ronaldo Caiado and various minor figures, register in single digits or lower in state-specific testing, limiting fragmentation risks. Trader consensus reflects these patterns while leaving room for late shifts from national campaign events, candidate withdrawals, or turnout variations before the October vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$8,411End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Acre for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, backed by consistent polling leads of 20-plus points over Lula across multiple surveys from June through late August. The state’s conservative electorate has shown sustained alignment with Liberal Party messaging on security, agriculture, and regional priorities, inheriting momentum from prior Bolsonarista support in the Amazon region. Other declared candidates, including Ronaldo Caiado and various minor figures, register in single digits or lower in state-specific testing, limiting fragmentation risks. Trader consensus reflects these patterns while leaving room for late shifts from national campaign events, candidate withdrawals, or turnout variations before the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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