JHC (João Henrique Caldas, PSDB) holds a narrow lead in most recent registered polls for the October 4 first-round vote in Alagoas, typically 40-47% against Renan Filho (MDB) at 37-42%, with the remainder split among minor candidates or undecided. The two frontrunners dominate a polarized contest to succeed term-limited Governor Paulo Dantas, and second-round simulations often remain within the margin of error. High spontaneous undecided rates above 50% in several surveys, combined with ongoing campaign efforts to consolidate support among key voting blocs, keep the race tight. Late shifts in turnout, coalition endorsements, or voter mobilization in the final weeks could widen or erase the current gap reflected in trader pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJHC 53%
Renan Filho 42%
Márcio Jambo <1%
Lenilda Luna <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
JHC
53%
Renan Filho
42%
Márcio Jambo
<1%
Lenilda Luna
<1%
JHC 53%
Renan Filho 42%
Márcio Jambo <1%
Lenilda Luna <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
JHC
$2,235 Vol.
53%
Renan Filho
$3,163 Vol.
42%
Márcio Jambo
$502 Vol.
<1%
Lenilda Luna
$522 Vol.
<1%
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).JHC (João Henrique Caldas, PSDB) holds a narrow lead in most recent registered polls for the October 4 first-round vote in Alagoas, typically 40-47% against Renan Filho (MDB) at 37-42%, with the remainder split among minor candidates or undecided. The two frontrunners dominate a polarized contest to succeed term-limited Governor Paulo Dantas, and second-round simulations often remain within the margin of error. High spontaneous undecided rates above 50% in several surveys, combined with ongoing campaign efforts to consolidate support among key voting blocs, keep the race tight. Late shifts in turnout, coalition endorsements, or voter mobilization in the final weeks could widen or erase the current gap reflected in trader pricing.
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Volume
$6,422End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).JHC (João Henrique Caldas, PSDB) holds a narrow lead in most recent registered polls for the October 4 first-round vote in Alagoas, typically 40-47% against Renan Filho (MDB) at 37-42%, with the remainder split among minor candidates or undecided. The two frontrunners dominate a polarized contest to succeed term-limited Governor Paulo Dantas, and second-round simulations often remain within the margin of error. High spontaneous undecided rates above 50% in several surveys, combined with ongoing campaign efforts to consolidate support among key voting blocs, keep the race tight. Late shifts in turnout, coalition endorsements, or voter mobilization in the final weeks could widen or erase the current gap reflected in trader pricing.
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$6,422End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...JHC (João Henrique Caldas, PSDB) holds a narrow lead in most recent registered polls for the October 4 first-round vote in Alagoas, typically 40-47% against Renan Filho (MDB) at 37-42%, with the remainder split among minor candidates or undecided. The two frontrunners dominate a polarized contest to succeed term-limited Governor Paulo Dantas, and second-round simulations often remain within the margin of error. High spontaneous undecided rates above 50% in several surveys, combined with ongoing campaign efforts to consolidate support among key voting blocs, keep the race tight. Late shifts in turnout, coalition endorsements, or voter mobilization in the final weeks could widen or erase the current gap reflected in trader pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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