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icon for Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

icon for Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

Allyson 63%

Cadu de Lula 23%

Álvaro Dias 14%

Professor Roberio Paulino <1%

Polymarket

$20,166 Vol.

Allyson 63%

Cadu de Lula 23%

Álvaro Dias 14%

Professor Roberio Paulino <1%

Polymarket

$20,166 Vol.

icon for Allyson

Allyson

$8,605 Vol.

63%

icon for Cadu de Lula

Cadu de Lula

$6,267 Vol.

23%

icon for Álvaro Dias

Álvaro Dias

$1,645 Vol.

14%

icon for Professor Roberio Paulino

Professor Roberio Paulino

$684 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rodrigo Bolsonaro

Rodrigo Bolsonaro

$671 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arinalda do MLB

Arinalda do MLB

$556 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Jararaca

Carlos Jararaca

$579 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dário Barbosa

Dário Barbosa

$575 Vol.

<1%

icon for Henrique Lyra

Henrique Lyra

$584 Vol.

<1%

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra (União) leads the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race with the highest implied probability in trader consensus, driven by consistent polling gains in late August and early September surveys from institutes including Exatus, Qualittá, and BG/Perfil, where he registers 33-40% support ahead of Cadu Xavier (PT) and Álvaro Dias (PL). These three candidates dominate first-round intentions in a technical three-way contest, with Allyson benefiting from name recognition as former Mossoró mayor and a broad coalition. Cadu, backed by the PT state government and President Lula's campaign visits, trails in most recent estimates but remains competitive in runoff simulations. Álvaro, aligned with the PL, shows steady but lower support. Nine candidates are registered for the October 4 first round, with a potential October 25 runoff if no majority is achieved; minor candidates register negligible shares.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20,166
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra (União) leads the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race with the highest implied probability in trader consensus, driven by consistent polling gains in late August and early September surveys from institutes including Exatus, Qualittá, and BG/Perfil, where he registers 33-40% support ahead of Cadu Xavier (PT) and Álvaro Dias (PL). These three candidates dominate first-round intentions in a technical three-way contest, with Allyson benefiting from name recognition as former Mossoró mayor and a broad coalition. Cadu, backed by the PT state government and President Lula's campaign visits, trails in most recent estimates but remains competitive in runoff simulations. Álvaro, aligned with the PL, shows steady but lower support. Nine candidates are registered for the October 4 first round, with a potential October 25 runoff if no majority is achieved; minor candidates register negligible shares.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20,166
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Allyson" at 63%, followed by "Cadu de Lula" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner" has generated $20.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner" is "Allyson" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cadu de Lula" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.