Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) remain the leading contenders for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election, where voters select two senators amid a fragmented field of 13 candidates. A late-August Quaest poll showed the top three clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively when combining first- and second-choice responses, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% and high spontaneous indecision at 67%. This closeness, combined with the mechanics of dual votes and potential late consolidation of undecided support or turnout shifts, sustains tight trader pricing around the frontrunners. Smaller candidates trail significantly, limiting their realistic paths to second place absent major last-minute developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNicoletti 42.8%
Teresa Surita 28%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Helio Bolsonaro 4.0%
$62,057 Vol.
$62,057 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
43%
Teresa Surita
28%
Helena da Asatur
19%
Helio Bolsonaro
4%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 42.8%
Teresa Surita 28%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Helio Bolsonaro 4.0%
$62,057 Vol.
$62,057 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
$10,916 Vol.
43%
Teresa Surita
$18,415 Vol.
28%
Helena da Asatur
$4,672 Vol.
19%
Helio Bolsonaro
$8,898 Vol.
4%
Chico Rodrigues
$13,612 Vol.
3%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$768 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) remain the leading contenders for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election, where voters select two senators amid a fragmented field of 13 candidates. A late-August Quaest poll showed the top three clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively when combining first- and second-choice responses, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% and high spontaneous indecision at 67%. This closeness, combined with the mechanics of dual votes and potential late consolidation of undecided support or turnout shifts, sustains tight trader pricing around the frontrunners. Smaller candidates trail significantly, limiting their realistic paths to second place absent major last-minute developments.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$62,057End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) remain the leading contenders for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election, where voters select two senators amid a fragmented field of 13 candidates. A late-August Quaest poll showed the top three clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively when combining first- and second-choice responses, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% and high spontaneous indecision at 67%. This closeness, combined with the mechanics of dual votes and potential late consolidation of undecided support or turnout shifts, sustains tight trader pricing around the frontrunners. Smaller candidates trail significantly, limiting their realistic paths to second place absent major last-minute developments.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$62,057End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) remain the leading contenders for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election, where voters select two senators amid a fragmented field of 13 candidates. A late-August Quaest poll showed the top three clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively when combining first- and second-choice responses, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% and high spontaneous indecision at 67%. This closeness, combined with the mechanics of dual votes and potential late consolidation of undecided support or turnout shifts, sustains tight trader pricing around the frontrunners. Smaller candidates trail significantly, limiting their realistic paths to second place absent major last-minute developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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