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icon for Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politics·Quebec Elections

Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politics·Quebec Elections

Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Charles Page 50%

Sébastien Schneeberger 32%

Myriam Cournoyer 2.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Charles Page 50%

Sébastien Schneeberger 32%

Myriam Cournoyer 2.6%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Charles Page

Charles Page

$284 Vol.

50%

icon for Sébastien Schneeberger

Sébastien Schneeberger

$822 Vol.

27%

icon for Myriam Cournoyer

Myriam Cournoyer

$1,436 Vol.

3%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**Charles Page of the Parti Québécois holds the highest implied probability in the Drummond–Bois-Francs riding at 57%, ahead of incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 37.5% and Myriam Cournoyer of the Parti conservateur du Québec at 2.6%.** The October 5, 2026, Quebec general election features boundary adjustments that complicate direct comparisons to 2022 results, where the CAQ captured a strong share under the prior map. Recent independent projections from early September show the PQ leading popular-vote estimates in the riding, reflecting broader provincial shifts and the CAQ’s position as the governing party under Premier Christine Fréchette following the August 27 writ. Page, announced as the PQ candidate in late August, brings a high-profile background as a mountaineer and philanthropist focused on youth and regional issues. Schneeberger, a long-serving MNA seeking another term, benefits from incumbency and local infrastructure record but faces headwinds in current modeling. Cournoyer’s return for the PCQ registers minimal trader support. With nominations still open until mid-September and the overall contest competitive, further candidate entries, campaign events, or shifts in provincial polling could alter positioning before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$2,542
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**Charles Page of the Parti Québécois holds the highest implied probability in the Drummond–Bois-Francs riding at 57%, ahead of incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 37.5% and Myriam Cournoyer of the Parti conservateur du Québec at 2.6%.** The October 5, 2026, Quebec general election features boundary adjustments that complicate direct comparisons to 2022 results, where the CAQ captured a strong share under the prior map. Recent independent projections from early September show the PQ leading popular-vote estimates in the riding, reflecting broader provincial shifts and the CAQ’s position as the governing party under Premier Christine Fréchette following the August 27 writ. Page, announced as the PQ candidate in late August, brings a high-profile background as a mountaineer and philanthropist focused on youth and regional issues. Schneeberger, a long-serving MNA seeking another term, benefits from incumbency and local infrastructure record but faces headwinds in current modeling. Cournoyer’s return for the PCQ registers minimal trader support. With nominations still open until mid-September and the overall contest competitive, further candidate entries, campaign events, or shifts in provincial polling could alter positioning before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$2,542
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Charles Page" at 50%, followed by "Sébastien Schneeberger" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Charles Page" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sébastien Schneeberger" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.