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icon for Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Elections·Canada

Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Elections·Canada

Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Guillaume Rousseau 48%

Bernard Sévigny 46%

David Poulin-Latulippe 5.5%

Hugo Fontaine 1.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Guillaume Rousseau 48%

Bernard Sévigny 46%

David Poulin-Latulippe 5.5%

Hugo Fontaine 1.5%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Guillaume Rousseau

Guillaume Rousseau

$1,443 Vol.

48%

icon for Bernard Sévigny

Bernard Sévigny

$48 Vol.

46%

icon for David Poulin-Latulippe

David Poulin-Latulippe

$49 Vol.

6%

icon for Hugo Fontaine

Hugo Fontaine

$567 Vol.

2%

icon for Dominic Bouffard

Dominic Bouffard

$208 Vol.

2%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**The Richmond riding in Quebec’s National Assembly faces a tight contest on October 5, 2026, between Coalition Avenir Québec candidate Guillaume Rousseau and Parti Québécois candidate Bernard Sévigny.** Rousseau, a University of Sherbrooke law professor known for his role defending Bill 21, carries the CAQ banner in a seat the party won comfortably in 2022. Sévigny, the former Sherbrooke mayor and Union des municipalités du Québec president, brings strong local recognition and municipal experience to the PQ ticket. Recent riding-level projections from 338Canada and Qc125 show the CAQ narrowly ahead on vote share, while Vote-Scope models a near toss-up with the PQ edging slightly forward amid broader provincial momentum for the sovereigntist party. The presence of credible candidates from the Liberals (Hugo Fontaine), Conservatives (Dominic Bouffard), and Québec solidaire (David Poulin-Latulippe) fragments the remaining vote, keeping the top two contenders closely matched. Boundary adjustments from the 2026 redistribution and the retirement of incumbent André Bachand have also introduced uncertainty. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this balance, with Rousseau and Sévigny separated by just a few percentage points and minimal implied probability for the other listed names. Late-campaign shifts in provincial polling, targeted local outreach, or turnout differences among francophone voters could widen the gap before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$2,315
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**The Richmond riding in Quebec’s National Assembly faces a tight contest on October 5, 2026, between Coalition Avenir Québec candidate Guillaume Rousseau and Parti Québécois candidate Bernard Sévigny.** Rousseau, a University of Sherbrooke law professor known for his role defending Bill 21, carries the CAQ banner in a seat the party won comfortably in 2022. Sévigny, the former Sherbrooke mayor and Union des municipalités du Québec president, brings strong local recognition and municipal experience to the PQ ticket. Recent riding-level projections from 338Canada and Qc125 show the CAQ narrowly ahead on vote share, while Vote-Scope models a near toss-up with the PQ edging slightly forward amid broader provincial momentum for the sovereigntist party. The presence of credible candidates from the Liberals (Hugo Fontaine), Conservatives (Dominic Bouffard), and Québec solidaire (David Poulin-Latulippe) fragments the remaining vote, keeping the top two contenders closely matched. Boundary adjustments from the 2026 redistribution and the retirement of incumbent André Bachand have also introduced uncertainty. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this balance, with Rousseau and Sévigny separated by just a few percentage points and minimal implied probability for the other listed names. Late-campaign shifts in provincial polling, targeted local outreach, or turnout differences among francophone voters could widen the gap before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$2,315
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Guillaume Rousseau" at 48%, followed by "Bernard Sévigny" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Guillaume Rousseau" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernard Sévigny" at 46%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.