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icon for Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Étienne Grandmont 55%

Christian Savard 43%

Eliot Estévez-Verville 4.1%

Farnell Morisset 3.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Étienne Grandmont 55%

Christian Savard 43%

Eliot Estévez-Verville 4.1%

Farnell Morisset 3.0%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Étienne Grandmont

Étienne Grandmont

$725 Vol.

55%

icon for Christian Savard

Christian Savard

$30 Vol.

43%

icon for Eliot Estévez-Verville

Eliot Estévez-Verville

$473 Vol.

4%

icon for Farnell Morisset

Farnell Morisset

$349 Vol.

3%

icon for Vincent Marissal

Vincent Marissal

$231 Vol.

3%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Taschereau’s National Assembly race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 5, 2026 Quebec election, with trader consensus reflecting incumbent Étienne Grandmont’s (Québec solidaire) modest edge amid vote fragmentation. Grandmont benefits from four years of visibility on local priorities including housing affordability, homelessness, and sustainable mobility in the urban Quebec City riding. Recent instability in the Parti Québécois campaign—Jeanne Robin’s withdrawal followed by Vincent Marissal’s brief nomination and exclusion, culminating in Christian Savard’s selection on August 27—has limited opposition cohesion. Competition from Liberal Farnell Morisset, Conservative Eliot Estévez-Verville, and CAQ candidate Brigitte Martin further disperses support, sustaining narrow implied probabilities across leading names while nomination deadlines and final turnout trends could still shift outcomes.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$1,807
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Taschereau’s National Assembly race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 5, 2026 Quebec election, with trader consensus reflecting incumbent Étienne Grandmont’s (Québec solidaire) modest edge amid vote fragmentation. Grandmont benefits from four years of visibility on local priorities including housing affordability, homelessness, and sustainable mobility in the urban Quebec City riding. Recent instability in the Parti Québécois campaign—Jeanne Robin’s withdrawal followed by Vincent Marissal’s brief nomination and exclusion, culminating in Christian Savard’s selection on August 27—has limited opposition cohesion. Competition from Liberal Farnell Morisset, Conservative Eliot Estévez-Verville, and CAQ candidate Brigitte Martin further disperses support, sustaining narrow implied probabilities across leading names while nomination deadlines and final turnout trends could still shift outcomes.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$1,807
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Étienne Grandmont" at 55%, followed by "Christian Savard" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Étienne Grandmont" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Christian Savard" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.