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icon for Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner
World·Italy

Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner

icon for Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner
World·Italy

Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner

Fabio Roscioli 82%

Frank Benedetto 14%

Domenico Giannetta 3.8%

Francesco Toscano <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Fabio Roscioli 82%

Frank Benedetto 14%

Domenico Giannetta 3.8%

Francesco Toscano <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Fabio Roscioli

Fabio Roscioli

$488 Vol.

82%

icon for Frank Benedetto

Frank Benedetto

$513 Vol.

14%

icon for Domenico Giannetta

Domenico Giannetta

$942 Vol.

4%

icon for Francesco Toscano

Francesco Toscano

$231 Vol.

1%

A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).The centre-right coalition's unified backing of Fabio Roscioli as its official candidate for the September 27-28 by-election has driven trader consensus toward his leading position. The single-member Reggio Calabria constituency, a longstanding Forza Italia stronghold where the party secured nearly 20% in the prior general election, became vacant after Francesco Cannizzaro's mayoral victory and resignation. Roscioli, the party's national treasurer with close Berlusconi family ties, benefits from endorsements across Forza Italia, Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, and allies, alongside local campaign efforts to build visibility. Frank Benedetto's broad centre-left alignment and Domenico Giannetta's National Future bid, which draws some right-leaning support, have fragmented opposition votes without narrowing the gap. Low expected turnout in the by-election further favors the better-organized coalition.

A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
Volume
$2,174
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).The centre-right coalition's unified backing of Fabio Roscioli as its official candidate for the September 27-28 by-election has driven trader consensus toward his leading position. The single-member Reggio Calabria constituency, a longstanding Forza Italia stronghold where the party secured nearly 20% in the prior general election, became vacant after Francesco Cannizzaro's mayoral victory and resignation. Roscioli, the party's national treasurer with close Berlusconi family ties, benefits from endorsements across Forza Italia, Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, and allies, alongside local campaign efforts to build visibility. Frank Benedetto's broad centre-left alignment and Domenico Giannetta's National Future bid, which draws some right-leaning support, have fragmented opposition votes without narrowing the gap. Low expected turnout in the by-election further favors the better-organized coalition.

A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
Volume
$2,174
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fabio Roscioli" at 82%, followed by "Frank Benedetto" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner" is "Fabio Roscioli" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Frank Benedetto" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Reggio di Calabria By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.