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icon for Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Simon Allaire 48%

Isabelle Blais 45%

Marc-André Cloutier 2.4%

Nancy Mignault 1.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Simon Allaire 48%

Isabelle Blais 45%

Marc-André Cloutier 2.4%

Nancy Mignault 1.8%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Simon Allaire

Simon Allaire

$440 Vol.

50%

icon for Isabelle Blais

Isabelle Blais

$1,557 Vol.

45%

icon for Marc-André Cloutier

Marc-André Cloutier

$1,031 Vol.

2%

icon for Nancy Mignault

Nancy Mignault

$638 Vol.

2%

icon for Simon Piotte

Simon Piotte

$431 Vol.

2%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight race in Maskinongé for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election centers on incumbent CAQ MNA Simon Allaire, who reversed an earlier decision not to seek re-election, facing PQ candidate Isabelle Blais, an actress with local Mauricie roots. Allaire's 2022 result exceeded 53 percent, yet current trader consensus places the two frontrunners near even odds amid provincial shifts that have narrowed CAQ support while boosting PQ prospects in the riding. Lower probabilities for Liberal Nancy Mignault, Conservative Marc-André Cloutier, and Québec solidaire's Simon Piotte reflect limited momentum for those parties locally. Advance voting on September 27-28 and final-week developments could widen the gap, as first-past-the-post outcomes hinge on turnout among core partisan and undecided voters in the 17 municipalities.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$4,096
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight race in Maskinongé for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election centers on incumbent CAQ MNA Simon Allaire, who reversed an earlier decision not to seek re-election, facing PQ candidate Isabelle Blais, an actress with local Mauricie roots. Allaire's 2022 result exceeded 53 percent, yet current trader consensus places the two frontrunners near even odds amid provincial shifts that have narrowed CAQ support while boosting PQ prospects in the riding. Lower probabilities for Liberal Nancy Mignault, Conservative Marc-André Cloutier, and Québec solidaire's Simon Piotte reflect limited momentum for those parties locally. Advance voting on September 27-28 and final-week developments could widen the gap, as first-past-the-post outcomes hinge on turnout among core partisan and undecided voters in the 17 municipalities.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$4,096
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Simon Allaire" at 50%, followed by "Isabelle Blais" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Simon Allaire" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Isabelle Blais" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.