Russia’s State Duma election on 18–20 September 2026 features a mixed system of 225 proportional seats and 225 single-member districts, with KPRF positioned as the leading systemic opposition party under Gennady Zyuganov. Recent WCIOM and FOM polls place its support near 11–15 percent, competing closely with LDPR and New People for second place and roughly 50–70 total seats. Trader consensus remains split between sub-50 and 50–59 outcomes because regional party structures face documented detentions, candidate disqualifications, and administrative pressures in traditional strongholds, while electronic and multi-day voting procedures introduce variability in turnout and seat conversion. These factors sustain tight probabilities until final vote counts clarify the balance between proportional share and district results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<50 47%
50–59 39%
60–69 8%
90–99 5.7%
<50
47%
50–59
39%
60–69
8%
70–79
3%
80–89
6%
90–99
6%
100+
3%
<50 47%
50–59 39%
60–69 8%
90–99 5.7%
<50
47%
50–59
39%
60–69
8%
70–79
3%
80–89
6%
90–99
6%
100+
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 8:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia’s State Duma election on 18–20 September 2026 features a mixed system of 225 proportional seats and 225 single-member districts, with KPRF positioned as the leading systemic opposition party under Gennady Zyuganov. Recent WCIOM and FOM polls place its support near 11–15 percent, competing closely with LDPR and New People for second place and roughly 50–70 total seats. Trader consensus remains split between sub-50 and 50–59 outcomes because regional party structures face documented detentions, candidate disqualifications, and administrative pressures in traditional strongholds, while electronic and multi-day voting procedures introduce variability in turnout and seat conversion. These factors sustain tight probabilities until final vote counts clarify the balance between proportional share and district results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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