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icon for Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politics·Quebec Elections

Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politics·Quebec Elections

Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Charles Page 56%

Sébastien Schneeberger 38%

Myriam Cournoyer 2.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Charles Page 56%

Sébastien Schneeberger 38%

Myriam Cournoyer 2.6%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Charles Page

Charles Page

$284 Vol.

56%

icon for Sébastien Schneeberger

Sébastien Schneeberger

$789 Vol.

38%

icon for Myriam Cournoyer

Myriam Cournoyer

$1,436 Vol.

3%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**Charles Page of the Parti Québécois holds the leading position in trader pricing for the Drummond–Bois-Francs seat in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, ahead of CAQ incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger and PCQ candidate Myriam Cournoyer.** Recent provincial polling trends and riding-specific projections from aggregators such as 338Canada and Qc125 show the PQ ahead on popular vote estimates in the low-to-mid 30s percent range, reflecting a shift from the riding’s prior CAQ strength under transposed 2022 results. Page’s late-August candidacy announcement as a prominent local alpinist and philanthropist has drawn regional attention, while Schneeberger benefits from incumbency and established networks. Cournoyer’s repeat run adds a conservative option that could split support. With nominations closing September 17 and the broader campaign ongoing, current trader consensus reflects these dynamics and the uncertain final vote split among confirmed and potential additional candidates.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$2,509
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**Charles Page of the Parti Québécois holds the leading position in trader pricing for the Drummond–Bois-Francs seat in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, ahead of CAQ incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger and PCQ candidate Myriam Cournoyer.** Recent provincial polling trends and riding-specific projections from aggregators such as 338Canada and Qc125 show the PQ ahead on popular vote estimates in the low-to-mid 30s percent range, reflecting a shift from the riding’s prior CAQ strength under transposed 2022 results. Page’s late-August candidacy announcement as a prominent local alpinist and philanthropist has drawn regional attention, while Schneeberger benefits from incumbency and established networks. Cournoyer’s repeat run adds a conservative option that could split support. With nominations closing September 17 and the broader campaign ongoing, current trader consensus reflects these dynamics and the uncertain final vote split among confirmed and potential additional candidates.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$2,509
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Charles Page" at 56%, followed by "Sébastien Schneeberger" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Charles Page" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sébastien Schneeberger" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.