**In the Charlesbourg riding for the October 5, 2026 Quebec National Assembly election, trader odds reflect a tight three-way contest among Éloïse Coulombe (Conservative Party of Quebec), Gabriel Coulombe (Parti Québécois), and Marie-Josée Morency (Coalition Avenir Québec), with the remaining candidates trailing far behind.** The riding, previously held by the CAQ, has seen its support fragment amid the broader provincial campaign that began after the writs were issued on August 27. Recent polling aggregates and riding-level projections from sources such as 338Canada show the top three parties clustered in the mid-20s to low-30s percent range, consistent with the market’s near-even pricing between the leading contenders. Key factors sustaining the tightness include the absence of the incumbent, the appeal of distinct party platforms on issues like taxes, sovereignty, and services in the Quebec City region, and the competitive positioning of the Conservative and PQ candidates who have established local profiles and party roles. Upcoming leaders’ debates and any shifts in provincial momentum could widen the gap by clarifying voter preferences among the main options before nomination deadlines close on September 17.