Somaliland’s House of Representatives and local councils received a 27-month term extension in late April 2026 when the Guurti approved the measure after the National Electoral Commission cited security risks in Sool, Sanaag, Awdal and SSC regions, widespread drought, and incomplete voter registration as barriers to the original May 2026 date. The extension, longer than the commission’s recommended 10-month delay, shifts the next parliamentary vote into 2028 and leaves the three authorized parties—Waddani, Kulmiye and UCID—with no immediate contest. Traders assign overwhelming probability to no election before 2027 because the constitutional process and institutional decision have locked in the timeline absent a successful legal challenge or sudden security improvement that would allow earlier polling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027 98.4%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 1.0%
Kulmiye <1%
Waddani <1%
$111,437 Vol.
$111,437 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No election before 2027
98%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
1%
Kulmiye
<1%
Waddani
<1%
No election before 2027 98.4%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 1.0%
Kulmiye <1%
Waddani <1%
$111,437 Vol.
$111,437 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No election before 2027
$98,069 Vol.
98%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
$4,979 Vol.
1%
Kulmiye
$3,771 Vol.
<1%
Waddani
$4,618 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Representatives and local councils received a 27-month term extension in late April 2026 when the Guurti approved the measure after the National Electoral Commission cited security risks in Sool, Sanaag, Awdal and SSC regions, widespread drought, and incomplete voter registration as barriers to the original May 2026 date. The extension, longer than the commission’s recommended 10-month delay, shifts the next parliamentary vote into 2028 and leaves the three authorized parties—Waddani, Kulmiye and UCID—with no immediate contest. Traders assign overwhelming probability to no election before 2027 because the constitutional process and institutional decision have locked in the timeline absent a successful legal challenge or sudden security improvement that would allow earlier polling.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Volume
$111,437End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Representatives and local councils received a 27-month term extension in late April 2026 when the Guurti approved the measure after the National Electoral Commission cited security risks in Sool, Sanaag, Awdal and SSC regions, widespread drought, and incomplete voter registration as barriers to the original May 2026 date. The extension, longer than the commission’s recommended 10-month delay, shifts the next parliamentary vote into 2028 and leaves the three authorized parties—Waddani, Kulmiye and UCID—with no immediate contest. Traders assign overwhelming probability to no election before 2027 because the constitutional process and institutional decision have locked in the timeline absent a successful legal challenge or sudden security improvement that would allow earlier polling.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Volume
$111,437End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland’s House of Representatives and local councils received a 27-month term extension in late April 2026 when the Guurti approved the measure after the National Electoral Commission cited security risks in Sool, Sanaag, Awdal and SSC regions, widespread drought, and incomplete voter registration as barriers to the original May 2026 date. The extension, longer than the commission’s recommended 10-month delay, shifts the next parliamentary vote into 2028 and leaves the three authorized parties—Waddani, Kulmiye and UCID—with no immediate contest. Traders assign overwhelming probability to no election before 2027 because the constitutional process and institutional decision have locked in the timeline absent a successful legal challenge or sudden security improvement that would allow earlier polling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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