The Maranhão Senate race for two seats features a fragmented field of 11 candidates, with voters selecting up to two names on October 4. Recent August polling shows Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading overall, while Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) cluster tightly for the remaining position amid 27% indecisos and 89% undecided in spontaneous responses. Trader pricing for second place aligns with these surveys, positioning Rocha highest among contenders due to incumbency and coalition support, followed closely by Bonfim and Fufuca, with lower odds for Sarney and Gama reflecting their stronger first-place positioning. Ongoing alliance negotiations tied to the gubernatorial contest and limited late-campaign shifts sustain the tight contest for the second slot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Weverton Rocha 42%
Fufuca 21%
Lahesio Bonfim 19.1%
Roseana Sarney 15%
$33,362 Vol.
$33,362 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Weverton Rocha
42%
Fufuca
21%
Lahesio Bonfim
24%
Roseana Sarney
15%
Eliziane Gama
7%
Wilson Leite
1%
Raimundo Moreira
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Weverton Rocha 42%
Fufuca 21%
Lahesio Bonfim 19.1%
Roseana Sarney 15%
$33,362 Vol.
$33,362 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Weverton Rocha
$12,459 Vol.
42%
Fufuca
$5,237 Vol.
21%
Lahesio Bonfim
$2,166 Vol.
24%
Roseana Sarney
$8,166 Vol.
15%
Eliziane Gama
$1,439 Vol.
7%
Wilson Leite
$580 Vol.
1%
Raimundo Moreira
$569 Vol.
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$888 Vol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$635 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$516 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$706 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Maranhão Senate race for two seats features a fragmented field of 11 candidates, with voters selecting up to two names on October 4. Recent August polling shows Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading overall, while Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) cluster tightly for the remaining position amid 27% indecisos and 89% undecided in spontaneous responses. Trader pricing for second place aligns with these surveys, positioning Rocha highest among contenders due to incumbency and coalition support, followed closely by Bonfim and Fufuca, with lower odds for Sarney and Gama reflecting their stronger first-place positioning. Ongoing alliance negotiations tied to the gubernatorial contest and limited late-campaign shifts sustain the tight contest for the second slot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$33,362End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Maranhão Senate race for two seats features a fragmented field of 11 candidates, with voters selecting up to two names on October 4. Recent August polling shows Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading overall, while Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) cluster tightly for the remaining position amid 27% indecisos and 89% undecided in spontaneous responses. Trader pricing for second place aligns with these surveys, positioning Rocha highest among contenders due to incumbency and coalition support, followed closely by Bonfim and Fufuca, with lower odds for Sarney and Gama reflecting their stronger first-place positioning. Ongoing alliance negotiations tied to the gubernatorial contest and limited late-campaign shifts sustain the tight contest for the second slot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,362End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maranhão Senate race for two seats features a fragmented field of 11 candidates, with voters selecting up to two names on October 4. Recent August polling shows Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading overall, while Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) cluster tightly for the remaining position amid 27% indecisos and 89% undecided in spontaneous responses. Trader pricing for second place aligns with these surveys, positioning Rocha highest among contenders due to incumbency and coalition support, followed closely by Bonfim and Fufuca, with lower odds for Sarney and Gama reflecting their stronger first-place positioning. Ongoing alliance negotiations tied to the gubernatorial contest and limited late-campaign shifts sustain the tight contest for the second slot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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