Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in the October 4, 2026, Maranhão Senate race for the two open seats, backed by her consistent lead in recent polling, established name recognition, and placement on the major "Avanço Por Todo Maranhão" coalition ticket alongside Orleans Brandão for governor and Weverton Rocha for re-election. Her July 2026 candidacy launch followed recovery from cancer treatment and drew on Sarney family political infrastructure plus MDB-PDT alliances. The field remains fragmented, with Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), Eliziane Gama (PT), and others trailing in single digits across August surveys that also showed high indecision. Traders price her dominance accordingly, reflecting coalition resources and historical voter patterns in a low-information Senate contest where the top two finishers win.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRoseana Sarney 72%
Lahesio Bonfim 11.9%
Weverton Rocha 7.4%
Fufuca 6.8%
$24,755 Vol.
$24,755 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
72%
Lahesio Bonfim
12%
Weverton Rocha
7%
Fufuca
7%
Raimundo Moreira
1%
Wilson Leite
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Eliziane Gama
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Roseana Sarney 72%
Lahesio Bonfim 11.9%
Weverton Rocha 7.4%
Fufuca 6.8%
$24,755 Vol.
$24,755 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
$15,655 Vol.
72%
Lahesio Bonfim
$3,723 Vol.
12%
Weverton Rocha
$2,232 Vol.
7%
Fufuca
$507 Vol.
7%
Raimundo Moreira
$412 Vol.
1%
Wilson Leite
$389 Vol.
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$391 Vol.
<1%
Eliziane Gama
$394 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$366 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$405 Vol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$281 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in the October 4, 2026, Maranhão Senate race for the two open seats, backed by her consistent lead in recent polling, established name recognition, and placement on the major "Avanço Por Todo Maranhão" coalition ticket alongside Orleans Brandão for governor and Weverton Rocha for re-election. Her July 2026 candidacy launch followed recovery from cancer treatment and drew on Sarney family political infrastructure plus MDB-PDT alliances. The field remains fragmented, with Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), Eliziane Gama (PT), and others trailing in single digits across August surveys that also showed high indecision. Traders price her dominance accordingly, reflecting coalition resources and historical voter patterns in a low-information Senate contest where the top two finishers win.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$24,755End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in the October 4, 2026, Maranhão Senate race for the two open seats, backed by her consistent lead in recent polling, established name recognition, and placement on the major "Avanço Por Todo Maranhão" coalition ticket alongside Orleans Brandão for governor and Weverton Rocha for re-election. Her July 2026 candidacy launch followed recovery from cancer treatment and drew on Sarney family political infrastructure plus MDB-PDT alliances. The field remains fragmented, with Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), Eliziane Gama (PT), and others trailing in single digits across August surveys that also showed high indecision. Traders price her dominance accordingly, reflecting coalition resources and historical voter patterns in a low-information Senate contest where the top two finishers win.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$24,755End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position for first place in the October 4, 2026, Maranhão Senate race for the two open seats, backed by her consistent lead in recent polling, established name recognition, and placement on the major "Avanço Por Todo Maranhão" coalition ticket alongside Orleans Brandão for governor and Weverton Rocha for re-election. Her July 2026 candidacy launch followed recovery from cancer treatment and drew on Sarney family political infrastructure plus MDB-PDT alliances. The field remains fragmented, with Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), Eliziane Gama (PT), and others trailing in single digits across August surveys that also showed high indecision. Traders price her dominance accordingly, reflecting coalition resources and historical voter patterns in a low-information Senate contest where the top two finishers win.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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