Recent polling from Quaest and other institutes shows a highly fragmented field for Maranhão’s two Senate seats, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading overall intentions at 16% but Weverton Rocha (PDT) consistently strongest or tied for second-place positioning in combined first- and second-vote scenarios. Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) trail closely behind amid 27% undecided voters and high blank/null rates. Traders price Weverton highest for second place at 42% because his coalition support and incumbency give him an edge in runoff-style vote splitting, while the remaining contenders remain bunched within margins of error. Official campaign activity and party conventions through September could consolidate preferences or shift alliances before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Weverton Rocha 42%
Fufuca 20%
Lahesio Bonfim 19.1%
Roseana Sarney 15%
$33,362 Vol.
$33,362 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Weverton Rocha
42%
Fufuca
20%
Lahesio Bonfim
23%
Roseana Sarney
15%
Eliziane Gama
6%
Wilson Leite
1%
Raimundo Moreira
1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Weverton Rocha 42%
Fufuca 20%
Lahesio Bonfim 19.1%
Roseana Sarney 15%
$33,362 Vol.
$33,362 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Weverton Rocha
$12,459 Vol.
42%
Fufuca
$5,237 Vol.
20%
Lahesio Bonfim
$2,166 Vol.
23%
Roseana Sarney
$8,166 Vol.
15%
Eliziane Gama
$1,439 Vol.
6%
Wilson Leite
$580 Vol.
1%
Raimundo Moreira
$569 Vol.
1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$635 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$888 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$516 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$706 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest and other institutes shows a highly fragmented field for Maranhão’s two Senate seats, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading overall intentions at 16% but Weverton Rocha (PDT) consistently strongest or tied for second-place positioning in combined first- and second-vote scenarios. Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) trail closely behind amid 27% undecided voters and high blank/null rates. Traders price Weverton highest for second place at 42% because his coalition support and incumbency give him an edge in runoff-style vote splitting, while the remaining contenders remain bunched within margins of error. Official campaign activity and party conventions through September could consolidate preferences or shift alliances before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$33,362End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest and other institutes shows a highly fragmented field for Maranhão’s two Senate seats, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading overall intentions at 16% but Weverton Rocha (PDT) consistently strongest or tied for second-place positioning in combined first- and second-vote scenarios. Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) trail closely behind amid 27% undecided voters and high blank/null rates. Traders price Weverton highest for second place at 42% because his coalition support and incumbency give him an edge in runoff-style vote splitting, while the remaining contenders remain bunched within margins of error. Official campaign activity and party conventions through September could consolidate preferences or shift alliances before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,362End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Quaest and other institutes shows a highly fragmented field for Maranhão’s two Senate seats, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading overall intentions at 16% but Weverton Rocha (PDT) consistently strongest or tied for second-place positioning in combined first- and second-vote scenarios. Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) trail closely behind amid 27% undecided voters and high blank/null rates. Traders price Weverton highest for second place at 42% because his coalition support and incumbency give him an edge in runoff-style vote splitting, while the remaining contenders remain bunched within margins of error. Official campaign activity and party conventions through September could consolidate preferences or shift alliances before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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