**Latest forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service (MGM) and supporting models project a daytime high of 32°C in Ankara on September 6 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies with light northerly winds.** Recent observations show highs of 29–31°C in early September, consistent with seasonal norms for the region as high pressure promotes subsidence and dry conditions without significant moisture or frontal cooling. Model consensus supports this range, with limited spread that explains the market's concentration on 32°C (62.5% implied) and 31°C (30%), while the small probability on 33°C accounts for possible localized peaks or slight model adjustments before resolution. No major shifts in steering patterns or instability are indicated in the latest runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
32°C 64%
31°C 30%
33°C 5%
30°C 3%
NEW
$14,350 Vol.
NEW
$14,350 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
30%
32°C
64%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
31°C 30%
33°C 5%
30°C 3%
NEW
$14,350 Vol.
NEW
$14,350 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
$164 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$919 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,723 Vol.
3%
31°C
$2,761 Vol.
30%
32°C
$3,649 Vol.
64%
33°C
$3,948 Vol.
5%
34°C
$381 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$125 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service (MGM) and supporting models project a daytime high of 32°C in Ankara on September 6 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies with light northerly winds.** Recent observations show highs of 29–31°C in early September, consistent with seasonal norms for the region as high pressure promotes subsidence and dry conditions without significant moisture or frontal cooling. Model consensus supports this range, with limited spread that explains the market's concentration on 32°C (62.5% implied) and 31°C (30%), while the small probability on 33°C accounts for possible localized peaks or slight model adjustments before resolution. No major shifts in steering patterns or instability are indicated in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,350End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service (MGM) and supporting models project a daytime high of 32°C in Ankara on September 6 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies with light northerly winds.** Recent observations show highs of 29–31°C in early September, consistent with seasonal norms for the region as high pressure promotes subsidence and dry conditions without significant moisture or frontal cooling. Model consensus supports this range, with limited spread that explains the market's concentration on 32°C (62.5% implied) and 31°C (30%), while the small probability on 33°C accounts for possible localized peaks or slight model adjustments before resolution. No major shifts in steering patterns or instability are indicated in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,350End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecasts from Turkey's Meteorological Service (MGM) and supporting models project a daytime high of 32°C in Ankara on September 6 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies with light northerly winds.** Recent observations show highs of 29–31°C in early September, consistent with seasonal norms for the region as high pressure promotes subsidence and dry conditions without significant moisture or frontal cooling. Model consensus supports this range, with limited spread that explains the market's concentration on 32°C (62.5% implied) and 31°C (30%), while the small probability on 33°C accounts for possible localized peaks or slight model adjustments before resolution. No major shifts in steering patterns or instability are indicated in the latest runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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