Recent official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate clear skies and moderate northerly winds over Ankara on September 7, 2026, supporting a daily maximum near 25°C as the consensus outcome. This reflects a cooling trend from the 32°C high recorded on September 6, driven by strengthening high pressure and reduced solar heating in early autumn. Model consensus shows limited variability, with most runs clustering between 24–26°C and low probability of significant deviation due to stable atmospheric conditions. Traders have priced 25°C at 58% implied probability, reflecting this narrow forecast range and the absence of incoming weather systems that could alter temperatures before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 7?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 7?
25°C 59%
24°C 25%
26°C 15%
27°C 3%
NEW
$12,114 Vol.
NEW
$12,114 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
25%
25°C
59%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 59%
24°C 25%
26°C 15%
27°C 3%
NEW
$12,114 Vol.
NEW
$12,114 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
21°C or below
$633 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$329 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,396 Vol.
25%
25°C
$3,026 Vol.
59%
26°C
$4,396 Vol.
15%
27°C
$719 Vol.
3%
28°C
$371 Vol.
1%
29°C
$346 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$388 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate clear skies and moderate northerly winds over Ankara on September 7, 2026, supporting a daily maximum near 25°C as the consensus outcome. This reflects a cooling trend from the 32°C high recorded on September 6, driven by strengthening high pressure and reduced solar heating in early autumn. Model consensus shows limited variability, with most runs clustering between 24–26°C and low probability of significant deviation due to stable atmospheric conditions. Traders have priced 25°C at 58% implied probability, reflecting this narrow forecast range and the absence of incoming weather systems that could alter temperatures before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,114End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate clear skies and moderate northerly winds over Ankara on September 7, 2026, supporting a daily maximum near 25°C as the consensus outcome. This reflects a cooling trend from the 32°C high recorded on September 6, driven by strengthening high pressure and reduced solar heating in early autumn. Model consensus shows limited variability, with most runs clustering between 24–26°C and low probability of significant deviation due to stable atmospheric conditions. Traders have priced 25°C at 58% implied probability, reflecting this narrow forecast range and the absence of incoming weather systems that could alter temperatures before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,114End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate clear skies and moderate northerly winds over Ankara on September 7, 2026, supporting a daily maximum near 25°C as the consensus outcome. This reflects a cooling trend from the 32°C high recorded on September 6, driven by strengthening high pressure and reduced solar heating in early autumn. Model consensus shows limited variability, with most runs clustering between 24–26°C and low probability of significant deviation due to stable atmospheric conditions. Traders have priced 25°C at 58% implied probability, reflecting this narrow forecast range and the absence of incoming weather systems that could alter temperatures before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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