Recent National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Los Angeles stations, including LAX, indicate a Tuesday high near 87°F under partly cloudy skies and moderate onshore flow that limits inland heat advection. This aligns with the market's leading 86-87°F bin at 41.5% implied probability, as marine layer influences and west-southwest winds of 15-25 mph keep readings below the hotter 90°F+ scenarios favored only at 4.4% combined. Recent model consensus shows modest daytime warming from overnight lows in the mid-70s, consistent with early September climatology near 80-85°F, while any stronger offshore flow or clearer skies could nudge readings into the 88-89°F range. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 8?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 8?
86-87°F 43%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 6%
NEW
$15,175 Vol.
NEW
$15,175 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
43%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
3%
92°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 43%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 6%
NEW
$15,175 Vol.
NEW
$15,175 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
73°F or below
$233 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$238 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$230 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$671 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$432 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$1,960 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$3,869 Vol.
27%
86-87°F
$3,782 Vol.
43%
88-89°F
$2,222 Vol.
18%
90-91°F
$889 Vol.
3%
92°F or higher
$650 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Los Angeles stations, including LAX, indicate a Tuesday high near 87°F under partly cloudy skies and moderate onshore flow that limits inland heat advection. This aligns with the market's leading 86-87°F bin at 41.5% implied probability, as marine layer influences and west-southwest winds of 15-25 mph keep readings below the hotter 90°F+ scenarios favored only at 4.4% combined. Recent model consensus shows modest daytime warming from overnight lows in the mid-70s, consistent with early September climatology near 80-85°F, while any stronger offshore flow or clearer skies could nudge readings into the 88-89°F range. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,175End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Los Angeles stations, including LAX, indicate a Tuesday high near 87°F under partly cloudy skies and moderate onshore flow that limits inland heat advection. This aligns with the market's leading 86-87°F bin at 41.5% implied probability, as marine layer influences and west-southwest winds of 15-25 mph keep readings below the hotter 90°F+ scenarios favored only at 4.4% combined. Recent model consensus shows modest daytime warming from overnight lows in the mid-70s, consistent with early September climatology near 80-85°F, while any stronger offshore flow or clearer skies could nudge readings into the 88-89°F range. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,175End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Los Angeles stations, including LAX, indicate a Tuesday high near 87°F under partly cloudy skies and moderate onshore flow that limits inland heat advection. This aligns with the market's leading 86-87°F bin at 41.5% implied probability, as marine layer influences and west-southwest winds of 15-25 mph keep readings below the hotter 90°F+ scenarios favored only at 4.4% combined. Recent model consensus shows modest daytime warming from overnight lows in the mid-70s, consistent with early September climatology near 80-85°F, while any stronger offshore flow or clearer skies could nudge readings into the 88-89°F range. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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