Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate overnight lows in the mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 9, driven by building high pressure reducing marine layer influence and promoting warmer downslope flow. This aligns with the market's leading 74-75°F outcome near 56.5% implied probability, as recent days have shown a warming trend with minima rising from the mid-60s toward 70°F amid sunny conditions and light onshore winds. Cooler thresholds such as 63°F or below would require an atypical strengthening of the marine layer or unexpected cloud cover, scenarios with low model consensus given the current setup. Historical September averages near 64°F provide context, but the near-term pattern favors the higher end of the distribution, with resolution hinging on final 48-hour observational updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 9?
63°F or below 99%
82°F or higher 95%
74-75°F 56%
76-77°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
63°F or below
99%
64-65°F
48%
66-67°F
48%
68-69°F
48%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
44%
74-75°F
56%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
48%
80-81°F
48%
82°F or higher
95%
63°F or below 99%
82°F or higher 95%
74-75°F 56%
76-77°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
63°F or below
$0 Vol.
99%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
48%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
48%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
48%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
48%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
44%
74-75°F
$99 Vol.
56%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
49%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
48%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
48%
82°F or higher
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate overnight lows in the mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 9, driven by building high pressure reducing marine layer influence and promoting warmer downslope flow. This aligns with the market's leading 74-75°F outcome near 56.5% implied probability, as recent days have shown a warming trend with minima rising from the mid-60s toward 70°F amid sunny conditions and light onshore winds. Cooler thresholds such as 63°F or below would require an atypical strengthening of the marine layer or unexpected cloud cover, scenarios with low model consensus given the current setup. Historical September averages near 64°F provide context, but the near-term pattern favors the higher end of the distribution, with resolution hinging on final 48-hour observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$99End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate overnight lows in the mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 9, driven by building high pressure reducing marine layer influence and promoting warmer downslope flow. This aligns with the market's leading 74-75°F outcome near 56.5% implied probability, as recent days have shown a warming trend with minima rising from the mid-60s toward 70°F amid sunny conditions and light onshore winds. Cooler thresholds such as 63°F or below would require an atypical strengthening of the marine layer or unexpected cloud cover, scenarios with low model consensus given the current setup. Historical September averages near 64°F provide context, but the near-term pattern favors the higher end of the distribution, with resolution hinging on final 48-hour observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$99End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate overnight lows in the mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 9, driven by building high pressure reducing marine layer influence and promoting warmer downslope flow. This aligns with the market's leading 74-75°F outcome near 56.5% implied probability, as recent days have shown a warming trend with minima rising from the mid-60s toward 70°F amid sunny conditions and light onshore winds. Cooler thresholds such as 63°F or below would require an atypical strengthening of the marine layer or unexpected cloud cover, scenarios with low model consensus given the current setup. Historical September averages near 64°F provide context, but the near-term pattern favors the higher end of the distribution, with resolution hinging on final 48-hour observational updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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