Ongoing southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, are the main factor anchoring trader expectations around 30–31°C as Lucknow’s highest temperature on September 7. IMD block-level forecasts for the Lucknow region consistently project maximums of 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with moderate rainfall probabilities, limiting daytime heating compared with clearer post-monsoon periods. Recent observations show similar values (30–32°C) amid high humidity and frequent rain, while model consensus indicates no significant break in the monsoon flow that would allow stronger insolation or higher readings. Updated IMD guidance and satellite trends through the next 24–48 hours will refine whether any localized clearing pushes the daily maximum above or below the narrow 30–31°C window currently favored by market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 7?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 7?
31°C 41%
30°C 29%
29°C 12%
32°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
29%
31°C
41%
32°C
12%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 41%
30°C 29%
29°C 12%
32°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
$261 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$779 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$71 Vol.
2%
28°C
$95 Vol.
5%
29°C
$237 Vol.
12%
30°C
$179 Vol.
29%
31°C
$1,217 Vol.
41%
32°C
$150 Vol.
12%
33°C
$74 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$145 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, are the main factor anchoring trader expectations around 30–31°C as Lucknow’s highest temperature on September 7. IMD block-level forecasts for the Lucknow region consistently project maximums of 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with moderate rainfall probabilities, limiting daytime heating compared with clearer post-monsoon periods. Recent observations show similar values (30–32°C) amid high humidity and frequent rain, while model consensus indicates no significant break in the monsoon flow that would allow stronger insolation or higher readings. Updated IMD guidance and satellite trends through the next 24–48 hours will refine whether any localized clearing pushes the daily maximum above or below the narrow 30–31°C window currently favored by market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,358End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, are the main factor anchoring trader expectations around 30–31°C as Lucknow’s highest temperature on September 7. IMD block-level forecasts for the Lucknow region consistently project maximums of 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with moderate rainfall probabilities, limiting daytime heating compared with clearer post-monsoon periods. Recent observations show similar values (30–32°C) amid high humidity and frequent rain, while model consensus indicates no significant break in the monsoon flow that would allow stronger insolation or higher readings. Updated IMD guidance and satellite trends through the next 24–48 hours will refine whether any localized clearing pushes the daily maximum above or below the narrow 30–31°C window currently favored by market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,358End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, are the main factor anchoring trader expectations around 30–31°C as Lucknow’s highest temperature on September 7. IMD block-level forecasts for the Lucknow region consistently project maximums of 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with moderate rainfall probabilities, limiting daytime heating compared with clearer post-monsoon periods. Recent observations show similar values (30–32°C) amid high humidity and frequent rain, while model consensus indicates no significant break in the monsoon flow that would allow stronger insolation or higher readings. Updated IMD guidance and satellite trends through the next 24–48 hours will refine whether any localized clearing pushes the daily maximum above or below the narrow 30–31°C window currently favored by market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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