Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow indicate a maximum of 30°C on September 8 amid overcast skies and spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with active monsoon conditions that limit solar heating and suppress daytime peaks. Recent observations show maxima near 33°C with scattered rainfall, while model consensus from sources like IMD and international guidance points to near-normal temperatures for the Gangetic plains. Cloud cover, elevated humidity, and precipitation probability around 70% create the primary downward pressure on highs, positioning the 30–32°C range as the trader consensus. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies develop.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 8?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 8?
31°C 43%
32°C 28%
30°C 17%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
17%
31°C
43%
32°C
28%
33°C
11%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
3%
31°C 43%
32°C 28%
30°C 17%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$2 Vol.
10%
30°C
$0 Vol.
17%
31°C
$220 Vol.
43%
32°C
$32 Vol.
28%
33°C
$11 Vol.
11%
34°C
$0 Vol.
7%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow indicate a maximum of 30°C on September 8 amid overcast skies and spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with active monsoon conditions that limit solar heating and suppress daytime peaks. Recent observations show maxima near 33°C with scattered rainfall, while model consensus from sources like IMD and international guidance points to near-normal temperatures for the Gangetic plains. Cloud cover, elevated humidity, and precipitation probability around 70% create the primary downward pressure on highs, positioning the 30–32°C range as the trader consensus. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$265End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow indicate a maximum of 30°C on September 8 amid overcast skies and spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with active monsoon conditions that limit solar heating and suppress daytime peaks. Recent observations show maxima near 33°C with scattered rainfall, while model consensus from sources like IMD and international guidance points to near-normal temperatures for the Gangetic plains. Cloud cover, elevated humidity, and precipitation probability around 70% create the primary downward pressure on highs, positioning the 30–32°C range as the trader consensus. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$265End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow indicate a maximum of 30°C on September 8 amid overcast skies and spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with active monsoon conditions that limit solar heating and suppress daytime peaks. Recent observations show maxima near 33°C with scattered rainfall, while model consensus from sources like IMD and international guidance points to near-normal temperatures for the Gangetic plains. Cloud cover, elevated humidity, and precipitation probability around 70% create the primary downward pressure on highs, positioning the 30–32°C range as the trader consensus. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies develop.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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