Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and southerly flow are sustaining above-average heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service and private models consensus forecasting a sunny high near 101°F for Dallas on September 8. Recent days have seen consecutive 100°F readings at DFW amid 52 dry days and strengthening ridging that limits cloud cover and mixing. This setup favors the 100–103°F range dominating market-implied odds, as modest differences in afternoon dew points, wind speeds near 5–10 mph, and boundary-layer heating determine whether the peak lands in the lower or upper end of that window. Historical September averages near 92°F underscore the anomaly, while ensemble spread remains narrow given the stable pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 8?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 8?
100-101°F 38%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 28%
96-97°F 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
91°F or below
4%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
28%
104-105°F
9%
106-107°F
16%
108-109°F
16%
110°F or higher
10%
100-101°F 38%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 28%
96-97°F 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
91°F or below
$0 Vol.
4%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
7%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
8%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
18%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
29%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
38%
102-103°F
$142 Vol.
28%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
9%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
16%
108-109°F
$0 Vol.
16%
110°F or higher
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and southerly flow are sustaining above-average heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service and private models consensus forecasting a sunny high near 101°F for Dallas on September 8. Recent days have seen consecutive 100°F readings at DFW amid 52 dry days and strengthening ridging that limits cloud cover and mixing. This setup favors the 100–103°F range dominating market-implied odds, as modest differences in afternoon dew points, wind speeds near 5–10 mph, and boundary-layer heating determine whether the peak lands in the lower or upper end of that window. Historical September averages near 92°F underscore the anomaly, while ensemble spread remains narrow given the stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$142End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and southerly flow are sustaining above-average heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service and private models consensus forecasting a sunny high near 101°F for Dallas on September 8. Recent days have seen consecutive 100°F readings at DFW amid 52 dry days and strengthening ridging that limits cloud cover and mixing. This setup favors the 100–103°F range dominating market-implied odds, as modest differences in afternoon dew points, wind speeds near 5–10 mph, and boundary-layer heating determine whether the peak lands in the lower or upper end of that window. Historical September averages near 92°F underscore the anomaly, while ensemble spread remains narrow given the stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$142End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and southerly flow are sustaining above-average heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service and private models consensus forecasting a sunny high near 101°F for Dallas on September 8. Recent days have seen consecutive 100°F readings at DFW amid 52 dry days and strengthening ridging that limits cloud cover and mixing. This setup favors the 100–103°F range dominating market-implied odds, as modest differences in afternoon dew points, wind speeds near 5–10 mph, and boundary-layer heating determine whether the peak lands in the lower or upper end of that window. Historical September averages near 92°F underscore the anomaly, while ensemble spread remains narrow given the stable pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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