Latest National Weather Service and model guidance, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate generally low precipitation probabilities across much of the contiguous United States for September 7, 2026, with measurable rain most likely in scattered portions of the Southeast and isolated western locations. Official forecasts show PoP values often below 20-30% for major monitoring stations in the Northeast, Midwest, and Plains, consistent with a strengthening ridge pattern limiting moisture return. Historical September baselines feature episodic convective activity, but current short-range outlooks emphasize dry conditions outside localized thunderstorm clusters. Traders should monitor the next WPC QPF updates and 12Z model cycles on September 6-7 for any shifts in steering patterns or moisture plumes that could alter resolution at specific NWS climate stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on September 7?
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
$0.00 Vol.
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate generally low precipitation probabilities across much of the contiguous United States for September 7, 2026, with measurable rain most likely in scattered portions of the Southeast and isolated western locations. Official forecasts show PoP values often below 20-30% for major monitoring stations in the Northeast, Midwest, and Plains, consistent with a strengthening ridge pattern limiting moisture return. Historical September baselines feature episodic convective activity, but current short-range outlooks emphasize dry conditions outside localized thunderstorm clusters. Traders should monitor the next WPC QPF updates and 12Z model cycles on September 6-7 for any shifts in steering patterns or moisture plumes that could alter resolution at specific NWS climate stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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