Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 89°F on September 6, with mostly sunny skies giving way to showers and thunderstorms mainly after 4pm amid high atmospheric moisture and heat indices near 104°F. This pattern of afternoon convection, driven by sea-breeze convergence and subtropical instability, typically caps daytime maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus from recent runs aligns with these conditions, positioning the 88–91°F range as the dominant market outcome while leaving limited room for outliers above 92°F absent unexpected suppression of storms or stronger subsidence. Updated NWS guidance overnight will provide the final observational context ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on September 6?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 6?
90-91°F 51%
88-89°F 27%
92-93°F 20%
86-87°F 4%
NEW
$15,978 Vol.
NEW
$15,978 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
51%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 51%
88-89°F 27%
92-93°F 20%
86-87°F 4%
NEW
$15,978 Vol.
NEW
$15,978 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
79°F or below
$923 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$813 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$667 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$777 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$1,246 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$4,418 Vol.
27%
90-91°F
$2,514 Vol.
51%
92-93°F
$2,563 Vol.
20%
94-95°F
$895 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$662 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$500 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 89°F on September 6, with mostly sunny skies giving way to showers and thunderstorms mainly after 4pm amid high atmospheric moisture and heat indices near 104°F. This pattern of afternoon convection, driven by sea-breeze convergence and subtropical instability, typically caps daytime maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus from recent runs aligns with these conditions, positioning the 88–91°F range as the dominant market outcome while leaving limited room for outliers above 92°F absent unexpected suppression of storms or stronger subsidence. Updated NWS guidance overnight will provide the final observational context ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,978End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 89°F on September 6, with mostly sunny skies giving way to showers and thunderstorms mainly after 4pm amid high atmospheric moisture and heat indices near 104°F. This pattern of afternoon convection, driven by sea-breeze convergence and subtropical instability, typically caps daytime maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus from recent runs aligns with these conditions, positioning the 88–91°F range as the dominant market outcome while leaving limited room for outliers above 92°F absent unexpected suppression of storms or stronger subsidence. Updated NWS guidance overnight will provide the final observational context ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,978End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 89°F on September 6, with mostly sunny skies giving way to showers and thunderstorms mainly after 4pm amid high atmospheric moisture and heat indices near 104°F. This pattern of afternoon convection, driven by sea-breeze convergence and subtropical instability, typically caps daytime maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus from recent runs aligns with these conditions, positioning the 88–91°F range as the dominant market outcome while leaving limited room for outliers above 92°F absent unexpected suppression of storms or stronger subsidence. Updated NWS guidance overnight will provide the final observational context ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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