Traders see the highest temperature in Panama City on September 7 as most likely to reach 31°C or 32°C, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in short-range model guidance. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, which modulates cloud cover and convective rainfall, alongside variable moisture advection from the Caribbean and Pacific that can suppress or enhance daytime heating. Official analyses from regional meteorological services show typical September maxima near 30–31°C under partly cloudy conditions, with deviations tied to exact timing of showers or clearer breaks. Ensemble spreads in global models highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns, while historical climatology indicates low day-to-day volatility in this equatorial setting. Updated runs from the next model cycle could shift the balance between these leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 7?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 7?
31°C 35%
32°C 31%
30°C 20%
33°C or higher 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
20%
31°C
35%
32°C
31%
33°C or higher
11%
31°C 35%
32°C 31%
30°C 20%
33°C or higher 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
23°C or below
$125 Vol.
1%
24°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$137 Vol.
1%
28°C
$48 Vol.
1%
29°C
$474 Vol.
4%
30°C
$65 Vol.
20%
31°C
$94 Vol.
35%
32°C
$1,633 Vol.
31%
33°C or higher
$178 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Panama City on September 7 as most likely to reach 31°C or 32°C, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in short-range model guidance. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, which modulates cloud cover and convective rainfall, alongside variable moisture advection from the Caribbean and Pacific that can suppress or enhance daytime heating. Official analyses from regional meteorological services show typical September maxima near 30–31°C under partly cloudy conditions, with deviations tied to exact timing of showers or clearer breaks. Ensemble spreads in global models highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns, while historical climatology indicates low day-to-day volatility in this equatorial setting. Updated runs from the next model cycle could shift the balance between these leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,649End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Panama City on September 7 as most likely to reach 31°C or 32°C, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in short-range model guidance. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, which modulates cloud cover and convective rainfall, alongside variable moisture advection from the Caribbean and Pacific that can suppress or enhance daytime heating. Official analyses from regional meteorological services show typical September maxima near 30–31°C under partly cloudy conditions, with deviations tied to exact timing of showers or clearer breaks. Ensemble spreads in global models highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns, while historical climatology indicates low day-to-day volatility in this equatorial setting. Updated runs from the next model cycle could shift the balance between these leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,649End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Panama City on September 7 as most likely to reach 31°C or 32°C, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in short-range model guidance. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, which modulates cloud cover and convective rainfall, alongside variable moisture advection from the Caribbean and Pacific that can suppress or enhance daytime heating. Official analyses from regional meteorological services show typical September maxima near 30–31°C under partly cloudy conditions, with deviations tied to exact timing of showers or clearer breaks. Ensemble spreads in global models highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns, while historical climatology indicates low day-to-day volatility in this equatorial setting. Updated runs from the next model cycle could shift the balance between these leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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