Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh are capping daytime heating in Lucknow on September 6, aligning with model consensus from sources like IMD and international forecasts for a maximum near 30–31°C. Recent observations show highs of 32–33°C on September 5 amid scattered rain, but increased moisture, easterly winds, and 70–85% precipitation probability on the 6th are expected to suppress peaks by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. This positions 31°C as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C. Traders are monitoring the next IMD bulletin and observational data for any late shifts in steering patterns or rainfall intensity that could allow brief clearing and a 32°C outlier.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
31°C 53%
30°C 32%
32°C 14%
29°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
32%
31°C
53%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 53%
30°C 32%
32°C 14%
29°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
$395 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$499 Vol.
2%
29°C
$768 Vol.
4%
30°C
$382 Vol.
32%
31°C
$829 Vol.
53%
32°C
$535 Vol.
14%
33°C
$328 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$196 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh are capping daytime heating in Lucknow on September 6, aligning with model consensus from sources like IMD and international forecasts for a maximum near 30–31°C. Recent observations show highs of 32–33°C on September 5 amid scattered rain, but increased moisture, easterly winds, and 70–85% precipitation probability on the 6th are expected to suppress peaks by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. This positions 31°C as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C. Traders are monitoring the next IMD bulletin and observational data for any late shifts in steering patterns or rainfall intensity that could allow brief clearing and a 32°C outlier.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,598End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh are capping daytime heating in Lucknow on September 6, aligning with model consensus from sources like IMD and international forecasts for a maximum near 30–31°C. Recent observations show highs of 32–33°C on September 5 amid scattered rain, but increased moisture, easterly winds, and 70–85% precipitation probability on the 6th are expected to suppress peaks by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. This positions 31°C as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C. Traders are monitoring the next IMD bulletin and observational data for any late shifts in steering patterns or rainfall intensity that could allow brief clearing and a 32°C outlier.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,598End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh are capping daytime heating in Lucknow on September 6, aligning with model consensus from sources like IMD and international forecasts for a maximum near 30–31°C. Recent observations show highs of 32–33°C on September 5 amid scattered rain, but increased moisture, easterly winds, and 70–85% precipitation probability on the 6th are expected to suppress peaks by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. This positions 31°C as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C. Traders are monitoring the next IMD bulletin and observational data for any late shifts in steering patterns or rainfall intensity that could allow brief clearing and a 32°C outlier.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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