Forecast models from NOAA and regional analyses indicate a mild high near 68–70°F for Seattle on September 5, driven by persistent marine layer influence, light northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating in the Pacific Northwest. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on the 68–69°F and 66–67°F bins, reflecting consensus around observed afternoon peaks near 68°F amid 40–50% shower chances. Early September climatology favors highs near 73°F, yet recent cool advection has kept readings below average. Minor forecast spreads arise from exact timing of any clearing and urban heat island effects, with official observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on September 5?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 5?
68-69°F 36%
66-67°F 34%
70-71°F 14%
64-65°F 12.1%
$51,021 Vol.
$51,021 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
34%
68-69°F
36%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 36%
66-67°F 34%
70-71°F 14%
64-65°F 12.1%
$51,021 Vol.
$51,021 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
59°F or below
$864 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$23,006 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$8,345 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$2,836 Vol.
12%
66-67°F
$2,201 Vol.
34%
68-69°F
$5,096 Vol.
36%
70-71°F
$3,265 Vol.
14%
72-73°F
$3,313 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$1,340 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$320 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$434 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and regional analyses indicate a mild high near 68–70°F for Seattle on September 5, driven by persistent marine layer influence, light northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating in the Pacific Northwest. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on the 68–69°F and 66–67°F bins, reflecting consensus around observed afternoon peaks near 68°F amid 40–50% shower chances. Early September climatology favors highs near 73°F, yet recent cool advection has kept readings below average. Minor forecast spreads arise from exact timing of any clearing and urban heat island effects, with official observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Volume
$51,021End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 7:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and regional analyses indicate a mild high near 68–70°F for Seattle on September 5, driven by persistent marine layer influence, light northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating in the Pacific Northwest. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on the 68–69°F and 66–67°F bins, reflecting consensus around observed afternoon peaks near 68°F amid 40–50% shower chances. Early September climatology favors highs near 73°F, yet recent cool advection has kept readings below average. Minor forecast spreads arise from exact timing of any clearing and urban heat island effects, with official observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,021End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 7:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and regional analyses indicate a mild high near 68–70°F for Seattle on September 5, driven by persistent marine layer influence, light northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating in the Pacific Northwest. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on the 68–69°F and 66–67°F bins, reflecting consensus around observed afternoon peaks near 68°F amid 40–50% shower chances. Early September climatology favors highs near 73°F, yet recent cool advection has kept readings below average. Minor forecast spreads arise from exact timing of any clearing and urban heat island effects, with official observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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