Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Seattle on September 6, 2026, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and a maximum temperature centered near 71–73°F, closely matching climatological normals of 72.8°F. This consensus, with minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, underpins the dominant 72–73°F market share. Slight upward or downward revisions in afternoon heating from variable cloud cover or wind shifts account for the secondary probabilities in adjacent bins, while the low likelihood of extremes reflects the absence of anomalous warm or cool air masses in current forecasts. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the 6 a.m.–6 p.m. observation window represent the next key data points for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on September 6?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 6?
72-73°F 62%
74-75°F 21%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
62%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 62%
74-75°F 21%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
63°F or below
$540 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$200 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$396 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$713 Vol.
4%
70-71°F
$1,479 Vol.
14%
72-73°F
$2,558 Vol.
62%
74-75°F
$684 Vol.
21%
76-77°F
$251 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$280 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$265 Vol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$383 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Seattle on September 6, 2026, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and a maximum temperature centered near 71–73°F, closely matching climatological normals of 72.8°F. This consensus, with minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, underpins the dominant 72–73°F market share. Slight upward or downward revisions in afternoon heating from variable cloud cover or wind shifts account for the secondary probabilities in adjacent bins, while the low likelihood of extremes reflects the absence of anomalous warm or cool air masses in current forecasts. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the 6 a.m.–6 p.m. observation window represent the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Volume
$7,749End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 7:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Seattle on September 6, 2026, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and a maximum temperature centered near 71–73°F, closely matching climatological normals of 72.8°F. This consensus, with minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, underpins the dominant 72–73°F market share. Slight upward or downward revisions in afternoon heating from variable cloud cover or wind shifts account for the secondary probabilities in adjacent bins, while the low likelihood of extremes reflects the absence of anomalous warm or cool air masses in current forecasts. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the 6 a.m.–6 p.m. observation window represent the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,749End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 7:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Seattle on September 6, 2026, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and a maximum temperature centered near 71–73°F, closely matching climatological normals of 72.8°F. This consensus, with minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, underpins the dominant 72–73°F market share. Slight upward or downward revisions in afternoon heating from variable cloud cover or wind shifts account for the secondary probabilities in adjacent bins, while the low likelihood of extremes reflects the absence of anomalous warm or cool air masses in current forecasts. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the 6 a.m.–6 p.m. observation window represent the next key data points for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions