**Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and GFS runs indicate a nighttime low around 70–74°F for Los Angeles on September 7, 2026, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of about 64°F.** This stems from a warm, stable airmass with light onshore flow and limited marine-layer cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated despite minor shower chances near September 6. Recent observations at LAX show daily lows in the mid-60s to low 70s, consistent with a broader early-September pattern of above-normal warmth across Southern California driven by subtropical high pressure and reduced cold-air advection. Traders have priced the highest implied probabilities on the 78°F-or-higher bin (49%) alongside the 70–73°F ranges (25% each), reflecting both the current model consensus for a mild overnight minimum and residual uncertainty in exact steering patterns or localized cooling. Historical records show September 7 lows rarely exceed 72°F, so the market-implied odds capture the unusual warmth expected this year while acknowledging potential downward revisions if stronger onshore winds develop. Key upcoming inputs include the next NHC/NOAA model runs and official LAX observations that will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 7?
78°F or higher 98%
70-71°F 50%
72-73°F 50%
59°F or below 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
59°F or below
49%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
49%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
50%
72-73°F
50%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
49%
78°F or higher
98%
78°F or higher 98%
70-71°F 50%
72-73°F 50%
59°F or below 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
59°F or below
$0 Vol.
49%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
49%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
49%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
49%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
49%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
49%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
50%
72-73°F
$165 Vol.
50%
74-75°F
$22 Vol.
49%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
49%
78°F or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and GFS runs indicate a nighttime low around 70–74°F for Los Angeles on September 7, 2026, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of about 64°F.** This stems from a warm, stable airmass with light onshore flow and limited marine-layer cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated despite minor shower chances near September 6. Recent observations at LAX show daily lows in the mid-60s to low 70s, consistent with a broader early-September pattern of above-normal warmth across Southern California driven by subtropical high pressure and reduced cold-air advection.
Traders have priced the highest implied probabilities on the 78°F-or-higher bin (49%) alongside the 70–73°F ranges (25% each), reflecting both the current model consensus for a mild overnight minimum and residual uncertainty in exact steering patterns or localized cooling. Historical records show September 7 lows rarely exceed 72°F, so the market-implied odds capture the unusual warmth expected this year while acknowledging potential downward revisions if stronger onshore winds develop. Key upcoming inputs include the next NHC/NOAA model runs and official LAX observations that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$187End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and GFS runs indicate a nighttime low around 70–74°F for Los Angeles on September 7, 2026, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of about 64°F.** This stems from a warm, stable airmass with light onshore flow and limited marine-layer cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated despite minor shower chances near September 6. Recent observations at LAX show daily lows in the mid-60s to low 70s, consistent with a broader early-September pattern of above-normal warmth across Southern California driven by subtropical high pressure and reduced cold-air advection.
Traders have priced the highest implied probabilities on the 78°F-or-higher bin (49%) alongside the 70–73°F ranges (25% each), reflecting both the current model consensus for a mild overnight minimum and residual uncertainty in exact steering patterns or localized cooling. Historical records show September 7 lows rarely exceed 72°F, so the market-implied odds capture the unusual warmth expected this year while acknowledging potential downward revisions if stronger onshore winds develop. Key upcoming inputs include the next NHC/NOAA model runs and official LAX observations that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$187End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and GFS runs indicate a nighttime low around 70–74°F for Los Angeles on September 7, 2026, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of about 64°F.** This stems from a warm, stable airmass with light onshore flow and limited marine-layer cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated despite minor shower chances near September 6. Recent observations at LAX show daily lows in the mid-60s to low 70s, consistent with a broader early-September pattern of above-normal warmth across Southern California driven by subtropical high pressure and reduced cold-air advection. Traders have priced the highest implied probabilities on the 78°F-or-higher bin (49%) alongside the 70–73°F ranges (25% each), reflecting both the current model consensus for a mild overnight minimum and residual uncertainty in exact steering patterns or localized cooling. Historical records show September 7 lows rarely exceed 72°F, so the market-implied odds capture the unusual warmth expected this year while acknowledging potential downward revisions if stronger onshore winds develop. Key upcoming inputs include the next NHC/NOAA model runs and official LAX observations that will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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