**Observed minimum temperatures in downtown Los Angeles reached 62°F on September 5, 2026, slightly below the 1991–2020 normal of 65°F amid a daily maximum of 91°F.** This placed the reading near the upper end of typical early-September variability driven by the marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific, which moderates overnight cooling. NOAA climatological summaries highlight stable high pressure and light winds that prevented stronger radiative cooling or cold-air advection, keeping the low within the narrow 62–65°F band favored by historical analogs. With no significant weather systems or temperature anomalies in the days prior, market-implied odds concentrated heavily on 64–65°F, reflecting trader assessment of these baseline atmospheric controls over more extreme deviations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 5?
64-65°F 99%
55°F or below 20%
58-59°F 20%
60-61°F 20%
$895 Vol.
$895 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
64-65°F 99%
55°F or below 20%
58-59°F 20%
60-61°F 20%
$895 Vol.
$895 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
55°F or below
$19 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$67 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$32 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$37 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$44 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$236 Vol.
Yes
66-67°F
$214 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$109 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$54 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$47 Vol.
No
74°F or higher
$36 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Observed minimum temperatures in downtown Los Angeles reached 62°F on September 5, 2026, slightly below the 1991–2020 normal of 65°F amid a daily maximum of 91°F.** This placed the reading near the upper end of typical early-September variability driven by the marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific, which moderates overnight cooling. NOAA climatological summaries highlight stable high pressure and light winds that prevented stronger radiative cooling or cold-air advection, keeping the low within the narrow 62–65°F band favored by historical analogs. With no significant weather systems or temperature anomalies in the days prior, market-implied odds concentrated heavily on 64–65°F, reflecting trader assessment of these baseline atmospheric controls over more extreme deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$895End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Observed minimum temperatures in downtown Los Angeles reached 62°F on September 5, 2026, slightly below the 1991–2020 normal of 65°F amid a daily maximum of 91°F.** This placed the reading near the upper end of typical early-September variability driven by the marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific, which moderates overnight cooling. NOAA climatological summaries highlight stable high pressure and light winds that prevented stronger radiative cooling or cold-air advection, keeping the low within the narrow 62–65°F band favored by historical analogs. With no significant weather systems or temperature anomalies in the days prior, market-implied odds concentrated heavily on 64–65°F, reflecting trader assessment of these baseline atmospheric controls over more extreme deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$895End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Observed minimum temperatures in downtown Los Angeles reached 62°F on September 5, 2026, slightly below the 1991–2020 normal of 65°F amid a daily maximum of 91°F.** This placed the reading near the upper end of typical early-September variability driven by the marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific, which moderates overnight cooling. NOAA climatological summaries highlight stable high pressure and light winds that prevented stronger radiative cooling or cold-air advection, keeping the low within the narrow 62–65°F band favored by historical analogs. With no significant weather systems or temperature anomalies in the days prior, market-implied odds concentrated heavily on 64–65°F, reflecting trader assessment of these baseline atmospheric controls over more extreme deviations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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