Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a typical wet-season overnight pattern for Panamá City, with persistent high humidity near 90% and extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This setup supports a minimum temperature clustering around 25–26°C on September 8, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Light northwest winds and scattered showers may introduce minor local variability in the exact low, while the absence of stronger cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions keeps the distribution tight. Historical September baselines show similar nocturnal ranges, underscoring the limited deviation expected without a significant shift in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and satellite observations tonight will refine the final resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 8?
26°C 39%
27°C 35%
25°C 28%
24°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
20°C or below
7%
21°C
7%
22°C
16%
23°C
13%
24°C
23%
25°C
28%
26°C
39%
27°C
35%
28°C
23%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
18%
26°C 39%
27°C 35%
25°C 28%
24°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
20°C or below
$12 Vol.
7%
21°C
$12 Vol.
7%
22°C
$12 Vol.
16%
23°C
$12 Vol.
13%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$12 Vol.
35%
28°C
$0 Vol.
23%
29°C
$12 Vol.
13%
30°C or higher
$12 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a typical wet-season overnight pattern for Panamá City, with persistent high humidity near 90% and extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This setup supports a minimum temperature clustering around 25–26°C on September 8, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Light northwest winds and scattered showers may introduce minor local variability in the exact low, while the absence of stronger cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions keeps the distribution tight. Historical September baselines show similar nocturnal ranges, underscoring the limited deviation expected without a significant shift in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and satellite observations tonight will refine the final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$86End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a typical wet-season overnight pattern for Panamá City, with persistent high humidity near 90% and extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This setup supports a minimum temperature clustering around 25–26°C on September 8, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Light northwest winds and scattered showers may introduce minor local variability in the exact low, while the absence of stronger cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions keeps the distribution tight. Historical September baselines show similar nocturnal ranges, underscoring the limited deviation expected without a significant shift in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and satellite observations tonight will refine the final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$86End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a typical wet-season overnight pattern for Panamá City, with persistent high humidity near 90% and extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This setup supports a minimum temperature clustering around 25–26°C on September 8, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Light northwest winds and scattered showers may introduce minor local variability in the exact low, while the absence of stronger cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions keeps the distribution tight. Historical September baselines show similar nocturnal ranges, underscoring the limited deviation expected without a significant shift in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and satellite observations tonight will refine the final resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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