Recent numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service (DWD) and Met Office indicate a daytime high near 27°C for Munich on September 7, driven by southwesterly flow, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern. This exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 21°C while remaining well below the September 7 record of 29.6°C. Ensemble forecasts show a tight range centered on 26–28°C with limited model spread, supporting the market's leading outcomes at 27°C (40%), 26°C (24%), and 28°C (18.5%). Updated runs overnight and morning observations will refine peak timing and any cloud-cover impacts ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 7?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 7?
27°C 40%
26°C 24%
28°C 19%
25°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
24%
27°C
40%
28°C
19%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 40%
26°C 24%
28°C 19%
25°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
21°C or below
$369 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$305 Vol.
1%
23°C
$105 Vol.
1%
24°C
$224 Vol.
3%
25°C
$218 Vol.
8%
26°C
$928 Vol.
24%
27°C
$685 Vol.
40%
28°C
$930 Vol.
19%
29°C
$408 Vol.
5%
30°C
$157 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$55 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service (DWD) and Met Office indicate a daytime high near 27°C for Munich on September 7, driven by southwesterly flow, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern. This exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 21°C while remaining well below the September 7 record of 29.6°C. Ensemble forecasts show a tight range centered on 26–28°C with limited model spread, supporting the market's leading outcomes at 27°C (40%), 26°C (24%), and 28°C (18.5%). Updated runs overnight and morning observations will refine peak timing and any cloud-cover impacts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,330End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service (DWD) and Met Office indicate a daytime high near 27°C for Munich on September 7, driven by southwesterly flow, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern. This exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 21°C while remaining well below the September 7 record of 29.6°C. Ensemble forecasts show a tight range centered on 26–28°C with limited model spread, supporting the market's leading outcomes at 27°C (40%), 26°C (24%), and 28°C (18.5%). Updated runs overnight and morning observations will refine peak timing and any cloud-cover impacts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,330End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service (DWD) and Met Office indicate a daytime high near 27°C for Munich on September 7, driven by southwesterly flow, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds under a stable high-pressure pattern. This exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 21°C while remaining well below the September 7 record of 29.6°C. Ensemble forecasts show a tight range centered on 26–28°C with limited model spread, supporting the market's leading outcomes at 27°C (40%), 26°C (24%), and 28°C (18.5%). Updated runs overnight and morning observations will refine peak timing and any cloud-cover impacts ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions