**Trader consensus at 99.9% for a 32°C high in Munich on September 8, 2026, reflects real-time observational data and model agreement showing a daily maximum near that threshold.** Official forecasts and station readings indicate afternoon peaks of 31–32°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly or westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, low humidity in the 30–50% range, and negligible precipitation. This aligns with a stable high-pressure pattern supporting late-summer warmth above the 1991–2020 September average high of roughly 21°C. The market-implied odds treat 32°C as the resolution threshold based on verified maximum temperatures from primary stations such as München-Nymphenburg or the airport. Only an unexpected late surge above 33°C from revised model runs or localized heating would realistically alter the outcome before final observations close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 8?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 8?
32°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$45,184 Vol.
$45,184 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$45,184 Vol.
$45,184 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
27°C or below
$2,213 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$766 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,059 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,617 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$9,457 Vol.
100%
33°C
$11,877 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,530 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$768 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,997 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,278 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.9% for a 32°C high in Munich on September 8, 2026, reflects real-time observational data and model agreement showing a daily maximum near that threshold.**
Official forecasts and station readings indicate afternoon peaks of 31–32°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly or westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, low humidity in the 30–50% range, and negligible precipitation. This aligns with a stable high-pressure pattern supporting late-summer warmth above the 1991–2020 September average high of roughly 21°C.
The market-implied odds treat 32°C as the resolution threshold based on verified maximum temperatures from primary stations such as München-Nymphenburg or the airport. Only an unexpected late surge above 33°C from revised model runs or localized heating would realistically alter the outcome before final observations close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$45,184End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.9% for a 32°C high in Munich on September 8, 2026, reflects real-time observational data and model agreement showing a daily maximum near that threshold.**
Official forecasts and station readings indicate afternoon peaks of 31–32°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly or westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, low humidity in the 30–50% range, and negligible precipitation. This aligns with a stable high-pressure pattern supporting late-summer warmth above the 1991–2020 September average high of roughly 21°C.
The market-implied odds treat 32°C as the resolution threshold based on verified maximum temperatures from primary stations such as München-Nymphenburg or the airport. Only an unexpected late surge above 33°C from revised model runs or localized heating would realistically alter the outcome before final observations close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,184End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 99.9% for a 32°C high in Munich on September 8, 2026, reflects real-time observational data and model agreement showing a daily maximum near that threshold.** Official forecasts and station readings indicate afternoon peaks of 31–32°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with light southerly or westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, low humidity in the 30–50% range, and negligible precipitation. This aligns with a stable high-pressure pattern supporting late-summer warmth above the 1991–2020 September average high of roughly 21°C. The market-implied odds treat 32°C as the resolution threshold based on verified maximum temperatures from primary stations such as München-Nymphenburg or the airport. Only an unexpected late surge above 33°C from revised model runs or localized heating would realistically alter the outcome before final observations close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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