Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on September 10 most likely reaching 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds following the passage of a frontal system on the 9th. This positions the 19°C outcome as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability, with 20°C as the secondary possibility at 28%, reflecting slight variations in daytime heating and cloud cover. The projected high sits near or slightly below the long-term September average of 20.5°C, consistent with post-precipitation stabilization rather than any anomalous pattern. Traders are monitoring final overnight model runs from agencies like the DWD for any shifts in the diurnal temperature range or wind influences before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 10?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 10?
19°C 48%
20°C 29%
18°C 15%
21°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
15%
19°C
48%
20°C
29%
21°C
10%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 48%
20°C 29%
18°C 15%
21°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
$445 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$12 Vol.
2%
16°C
$92 Vol.
2%
17°C
$583 Vol.
3%
18°C
$471 Vol.
15%
19°C
$475 Vol.
48%
20°C
$419 Vol.
29%
21°C
$635 Vol.
10%
22°C
$56 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$48 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on September 10 most likely reaching 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds following the passage of a frontal system on the 9th. This positions the 19°C outcome as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability, with 20°C as the secondary possibility at 28%, reflecting slight variations in daytime heating and cloud cover. The projected high sits near or slightly below the long-term September average of 20.5°C, consistent with post-precipitation stabilization rather than any anomalous pattern. Traders are monitoring final overnight model runs from agencies like the DWD for any shifts in the diurnal temperature range or wind influences before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,614End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on September 10 most likely reaching 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds following the passage of a frontal system on the 9th. This positions the 19°C outcome as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability, with 20°C as the secondary possibility at 28%, reflecting slight variations in daytime heating and cloud cover. The projected high sits near or slightly below the long-term September average of 20.5°C, consistent with post-precipitation stabilization rather than any anomalous pattern. Traders are monitoring final overnight model runs from agencies like the DWD for any shifts in the diurnal temperature range or wind influences before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,614End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on September 10 most likely reaching 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds following the passage of a frontal system on the 9th. This positions the 19°C outcome as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability, with 20°C as the secondary possibility at 28%, reflecting slight variations in daytime heating and cloud cover. The projected high sits near or slightly below the long-term September average of 20.5°C, consistent with post-precipitation stabilization rather than any anomalous pattern. Traders are monitoring final overnight model runs from agencies like the DWD for any shifts in the diurnal temperature range or wind influences before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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