Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a moderating trend for coastal Los Angeles stations on September 10 after the midweek heat peak driven by residual moisture from Tropical Storm Marie. Onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer are expected to cap afternoon highs near 86–89 °F at key measurement sites such as Los Angeles International Airport, with sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing as the main variables separating the tightly clustered 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F market bins. Inland valleys may still reach the mid-90s, but the official city high hinges on coastal observations. Updated model cycles and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 10?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 10?
86-87°F 39%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 18%
90-91°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
3%
94°F or higher
2%
86-87°F 39%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 18%
90-91°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
75°F or below
$20 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$120 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$13 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$169 Vol.
18%
86-87°F
$427 Vol.
39%
88-89°F
$588 Vol.
30%
90-91°F
$281 Vol.
7%
92-93°F
$30 Vol.
3%
94°F or higher
$27 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a moderating trend for coastal Los Angeles stations on September 10 after the midweek heat peak driven by residual moisture from Tropical Storm Marie. Onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer are expected to cap afternoon highs near 86–89 °F at key measurement sites such as Los Angeles International Airport, with sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing as the main variables separating the tightly clustered 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F market bins. Inland valleys may still reach the mid-90s, but the official city high hinges on coastal observations. Updated model cycles and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,676End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a moderating trend for coastal Los Angeles stations on September 10 after the midweek heat peak driven by residual moisture from Tropical Storm Marie. Onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer are expected to cap afternoon highs near 86–89 °F at key measurement sites such as Los Angeles International Airport, with sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing as the main variables separating the tightly clustered 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F market bins. Inland valleys may still reach the mid-90s, but the official city high hinges on coastal observations. Updated model cycles and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,676End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a moderating trend for coastal Los Angeles stations on September 10 after the midweek heat peak driven by residual moisture from Tropical Storm Marie. Onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer are expected to cap afternoon highs near 86–89 °F at key measurement sites such as Los Angeles International Airport, with sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing as the main variables separating the tightly clustered 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F market bins. Inland valleys may still reach the mid-90s, but the official city high hinges on coastal observations. Updated model cycles and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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