Recent forecast models from sources like PredictWind and Yr.no indicate a high near 24–27°C for Ankara on September 8, driven by northerly winds and stable high pressure promoting clear skies and limited daytime heating. This pattern follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C at 58% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of cooling relative to September’s climatological average high of 26–27°C. Official monitoring from the Turkish Meteorological Service and airport observations will determine the exact maximum, with minimal precipitation risk supporting stable readings. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours could refine steering patterns and temperature thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 8?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 8?
24°C 57%
25°C 21%
23°C 16%
21°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
7%
22°C
5%
23°C
16%
24°C
57%
25°C
21%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 57%
25°C 21%
23°C 16%
21°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
19°C or below
$135 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$63 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$36 Vol.
5%
23°C
$181 Vol.
16%
24°C
$214 Vol.
57%
25°C
$120 Vol.
21%
26°C
$57 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$57 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like PredictWind and Yr.no indicate a high near 24–27°C for Ankara on September 8, driven by northerly winds and stable high pressure promoting clear skies and limited daytime heating. This pattern follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C at 58% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of cooling relative to September’s climatological average high of 26–27°C. Official monitoring from the Turkish Meteorological Service and airport observations will determine the exact maximum, with minimal precipitation risk supporting stable readings. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours could refine steering patterns and temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$983End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like PredictWind and Yr.no indicate a high near 24–27°C for Ankara on September 8, driven by northerly winds and stable high pressure promoting clear skies and limited daytime heating. This pattern follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C at 58% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of cooling relative to September’s climatological average high of 26–27°C. Official monitoring from the Turkish Meteorological Service and airport observations will determine the exact maximum, with minimal precipitation risk supporting stable readings. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours could refine steering patterns and temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$983End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like PredictWind and Yr.no indicate a high near 24–27°C for Ankara on September 8, driven by northerly winds and stable high pressure promoting clear skies and limited daytime heating. This pattern follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C at 58% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of cooling relative to September’s climatological average high of 26–27°C. Official monitoring from the Turkish Meteorological Service and airport observations will determine the exact maximum, with minimal precipitation risk supporting stable readings. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours could refine steering patterns and temperature thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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