Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate overnight lows near 11–12°C in Ankara on September 8, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling and a northerly flow advecting cooler continental air. This aligns with a cooling trend observed since early September, when daytime highs dropped from the low 30s°C to the mid-20s°C. Historical September minimums average around 14–15°C, placing the current outlook slightly below normal. Market-implied odds favoring 9°C or below reflect trader assessment of model spread and potential for stronger cooling if winds weaken overnight, while probabilities clustered near 11–12°C capture the consensus central tendency ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 8?
9°C or below 68%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
14°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
9°C or below
68%
10°C
1%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
1%
14°C
49%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
9°C or below 68%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
14°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
68%
10°C
$0 Vol.
1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate overnight lows near 11–12°C in Ankara on September 8, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling and a northerly flow advecting cooler continental air. This aligns with a cooling trend observed since early September, when daytime highs dropped from the low 30s°C to the mid-20s°C. Historical September minimums average around 14–15°C, placing the current outlook slightly below normal. Market-implied odds favoring 9°C or below reflect trader assessment of model spread and potential for stronger cooling if winds weaken overnight, while probabilities clustered near 11–12°C capture the consensus central tendency ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$5End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate overnight lows near 11–12°C in Ankara on September 8, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling and a northerly flow advecting cooler continental air. This aligns with a cooling trend observed since early September, when daytime highs dropped from the low 30s°C to the mid-20s°C. Historical September minimums average around 14–15°C, placing the current outlook slightly below normal. Market-implied odds favoring 9°C or below reflect trader assessment of model spread and potential for stronger cooling if winds weaken overnight, while probabilities clustered near 11–12°C capture the consensus central tendency ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate overnight lows near 11–12°C in Ankara on September 8, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling and a northerly flow advecting cooler continental air. This aligns with a cooling trend observed since early September, when daytime highs dropped from the low 30s°C to the mid-20s°C. Historical September minimums average around 14–15°C, placing the current outlook slightly below normal. Market-implied odds favoring 9°C or below reflect trader assessment of model spread and potential for stronger cooling if winds weaken overnight, while probabilities clustered near 11–12°C capture the consensus central tendency ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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