**Latest meteorological forecasts for Ankara on September 6, 2026, show clear skies, light winds, and high pressure promoting strong overnight radiational cooling, supporting a minimum temperature near 13°C at official stations.** Multiple model runs and agency guidance converge on this value after daytime highs reached 30–32°C, with dew points and surface observations aligning closely. The 91% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects traders’ assessment of this consensus amid minimal forecast spread. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind speed that limit cooling, or a late surge of cooler air shifting the low by 1–2°C; final resolution depends on the precise Turkish Meteorological Service reading at the designated station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
13°C 97%
11°C 37%
12°C 17%
10°C or below 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
7%
11°C
37%
12°C
17%
13°C
92%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
13°C 97%
11°C 37%
12°C 17%
10°C or below 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$29 Vol.
7%
11°C
$72 Vol.
37%
12°C
$73 Vol.
17%
13°C
$341 Vol.
92%
14°C
$113 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological forecasts for Ankara on September 6, 2026, show clear skies, light winds, and high pressure promoting strong overnight radiational cooling, supporting a minimum temperature near 13°C at official stations.** Multiple model runs and agency guidance converge on this value after daytime highs reached 30–32°C, with dew points and surface observations aligning closely. The 91% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects traders’ assessment of this consensus amid minimal forecast spread. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind speed that limit cooling, or a late surge of cooler air shifting the low by 1–2°C; final resolution depends on the precise Turkish Meteorological Service reading at the designated station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,272End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological forecasts for Ankara on September 6, 2026, show clear skies, light winds, and high pressure promoting strong overnight radiational cooling, supporting a minimum temperature near 13°C at official stations.** Multiple model runs and agency guidance converge on this value after daytime highs reached 30–32°C, with dew points and surface observations aligning closely. The 91% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects traders’ assessment of this consensus amid minimal forecast spread. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind speed that limit cooling, or a late surge of cooler air shifting the low by 1–2°C; final resolution depends on the precise Turkish Meteorological Service reading at the designated station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,272End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest meteorological forecasts for Ankara on September 6, 2026, show clear skies, light winds, and high pressure promoting strong overnight radiational cooling, supporting a minimum temperature near 13°C at official stations.** Multiple model runs and agency guidance converge on this value after daytime highs reached 30–32°C, with dew points and surface observations aligning closely. The 91% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects traders’ assessment of this consensus amid minimal forecast spread. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind speed that limit cooling, or a late surge of cooler air shifting the low by 1–2°C; final resolution depends on the precise Turkish Meteorological Service reading at the designated station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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