Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 24–25°C in Munich on September 6 under mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Stable high pressure supports daytime warming from overnight lows near 11–13°C, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach 21°C but recent analogs show variability up to 28°C. Updated runs as of September 5 evening show minimal spread across sources, with no indications of stronger warming or cooling advection that would shift probabilities toward 26°C or below 23°C. Resolution will depend on official maximum readings, with traders closely monitoring any last-minute model adjustments before the 24-hour window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 6?
24°C 63%
25°C 33%
23°C 7%
26°C <1%
NEW
$38,649 Vol.
NEW
$38,649 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
63%
25°C
33%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 63%
25°C 33%
23°C 7%
26°C <1%
NEW
$38,649 Vol.
NEW
$38,649 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
18°C or below
$1,365 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$26,493 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$902 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,151 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,741 Vol.
7%
24°C
$2,467 Vol.
63%
25°C
$2,961 Vol.
33%
26°C
$639 Vol.
1%
27°C
$559 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$140 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 24–25°C in Munich on September 6 under mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Stable high pressure supports daytime warming from overnight lows near 11–13°C, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach 21°C but recent analogs show variability up to 28°C. Updated runs as of September 5 evening show minimal spread across sources, with no indications of stronger warming or cooling advection that would shift probabilities toward 26°C or below 23°C. Resolution will depend on official maximum readings, with traders closely monitoring any last-minute model adjustments before the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$38,649End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 24–25°C in Munich on September 6 under mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Stable high pressure supports daytime warming from overnight lows near 11–13°C, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach 21°C but recent analogs show variability up to 28°C. Updated runs as of September 5 evening show minimal spread across sources, with no indications of stronger warming or cooling advection that would shift probabilities toward 26°C or below 23°C. Resolution will depend on official maximum readings, with traders closely monitoring any last-minute model adjustments before the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,649End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 24–25°C in Munich on September 6 under mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Stable high pressure supports daytime warming from overnight lows near 11–13°C, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach 21°C but recent analogs show variability up to 28°C. Updated runs as of September 5 evening show minimal spread across sources, with no indications of stronger warming or cooling advection that would shift probabilities toward 26°C or below 23°C. Resolution will depend on official maximum readings, with traders closely monitoring any last-minute model adjustments before the 24-hour window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions