**Latest meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou on September 7, 2026, point to a daytime high near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and only modest rain chances, aligning with the long-term average high of 32.6°C.** Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance shows limited potential for significant warming, though afternoon heating under clearing skies could push readings a degree or two higher in urban areas. The market's emphasis on 35°C (41.5%) and 36°C (33%) reflects trader weighting of historical extremes—such as the 35.2°C record from 2004—and remaining uncertainty in precise maximum timing or microclimate effects. Upcoming afternoon observations and any late model updates will clarify whether conditions support the upper end of the distribution or stay closer to the 32–34°C cluster favored by current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 7?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 7?
35°C 42%
36°C 33%
34°C 16%
33°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
42%
36°C
33%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 42%
36°C 33%
34°C 16%
33°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
29°C or below
$199 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$210 Vol.
1%
32°C
$153 Vol.
2%
33°C
$271 Vol.
4%
34°C
$278 Vol.
16%
35°C
$1,241 Vol.
42%
36°C
$1,131 Vol.
33%
37°C
$453 Vol.
2%
38°C
$212 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$430 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou on September 7, 2026, point to a daytime high near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and only modest rain chances, aligning with the long-term average high of 32.6°C.** Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance shows limited potential for significant warming, though afternoon heating under clearing skies could push readings a degree or two higher in urban areas. The market's emphasis on 35°C (41.5%) and 36°C (33%) reflects trader weighting of historical extremes—such as the 35.2°C record from 2004—and remaining uncertainty in precise maximum timing or microclimate effects. Upcoming afternoon observations and any late model updates will clarify whether conditions support the upper end of the distribution or stay closer to the 32–34°C cluster favored by current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,712End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou on September 7, 2026, point to a daytime high near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and only modest rain chances, aligning with the long-term average high of 32.6°C.** Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance shows limited potential for significant warming, though afternoon heating under clearing skies could push readings a degree or two higher in urban areas. The market's emphasis on 35°C (41.5%) and 36°C (33%) reflects trader weighting of historical extremes—such as the 35.2°C record from 2004—and remaining uncertainty in precise maximum timing or microclimate effects. Upcoming afternoon observations and any late model updates will clarify whether conditions support the upper end of the distribution or stay closer to the 32–34°C cluster favored by current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,712End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou on September 7, 2026, point to a daytime high near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and only modest rain chances, aligning with the long-term average high of 32.6°C.** Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance shows limited potential for significant warming, though afternoon heating under clearing skies could push readings a degree or two higher in urban areas. The market's emphasis on 35°C (41.5%) and 36°C (33%) reflects trader weighting of historical extremes—such as the 35.2°C record from 2004—and remaining uncertainty in precise maximum timing or microclimate effects. Upcoming afternoon observations and any late model updates will clarify whether conditions support the upper end of the distribution or stay closer to the 32–34°C cluster favored by current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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